Impacts of Climate Change (Edexcel A Level Geography)

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Impact of Climate Change on Inputs & Outputs

  • The impact of climate change on the hydrological system could lead to several different impacts

Summary of Climate Change Impacts on Inputs and Outputs

Impact on Result
Precipitation

Warmer air holds more water, therefore, there would be an increase in rainfall frequency and intensity; areas most affected would be the tropics and high latitudes

Decreases in precipitation would most likely lie between 10° and 30° north and south of the Equator

Increased frequency and length of heatwaves, increasing occurrences of drought and water scarcity

Snowfall is replaced with rain in northern regions, reducing glacier mass

Soil Moisture

Where areas see an increase in precipitation then it would follow that soil moisture will increase also and vice versa

Overall impact of climate change is uncertain as many factors contribute soil moisture levels and climate is just one factor 

Evapo-transpiration

Increased evaporation over large land masses such as North America and Asia

Transpiration levels would alter inline with vegetation changes (increase or decrease), this would further link to changes in soil moisture and precipitation

Impact of Climate Change on Stores & Flows

  • It is expected that climate change will reduce stores, and increase flows
  • However, there is uncertainty surrounding this as more research is needed to establish a definite link between climate change and the hydrological cycle
Store Impact
Ice

Higher temperatures lead to negative mass balance 

Shrinking of glaciers, ice caps and ice sheets

Reduction of glacial water for human use

Oceans

Possible increase in evaporation

Rise in sea levels as warmer waters expand

Rise in frequency and intensity of tropical cyclones

Storage capacity increased by meltwater

Snow

Decreased length of snow cover seasons - economic impact on tourism revenue

Spring melt starts earlier

Permafrost

Melting of permafrost and release of methane to the atmosphere, increase of greenhouse effect (positive feedback)

Changes to the ecosystems and tundra reducing stores of water

Surface Runoff and Stream Flow

Increased low and high flow events (drought and floods)

Reduced infiltration with increased surface runoff

Groundwater Flow and Aquifers

Abstraction of water makes impact uncertain

Aquifers depleted through over abstraction but also low flow events not recharging store

Soil Moisture Little change
Reservoir, Lake and Wetland Storage Human activity changing wetlands cannot be linked to climate change, however, there does appear to be a link with decreasing stores and temperature rises

Climate Change & Water Security

  • It is necessary to distinguish between long term climate change impacts and the short term oscillations of ENSO cycles
  • ENSO cycles result in both extreme flooding and drought in different parts of world at the same time
  • However, if land and sea surface temperatures continue to rise, then it is possible ENSO cycles could become more frequent rather than every 2-3 years
  • This would lead to more periodic unusual climates for both South America and Australia
  • It would also lead to unreliable patterns of rainfall and failure of monsoons impacting many tropical monsoon climates (India etc.)
  • Increased intensity and frequency of drought impacts agriculture raising water insecurity
  • Loss of snow and glacier melt threatens many communities particularly in mountainous areas
  • Greater rates of evapotranspiration and desiccation of forest stores
  • Increased temperatures lead to greater evaporation from surface water and reservoirs, reducing levels of water and increasing risk of water borne disease and mosquitos 
  • Depleted aquifers leads to water insecurities and lowering of water table

Exam Tip

It is important to note that drainage basins and the water cycle depend on ENSO cycles and climate, both are unpredictable and not that well understood. That makes managing the future of our water challenging. 

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Bridgette

Author: Bridgette

After graduating with a degree in Geography, Bridgette completed a PGCE over 25 years ago. She later gained an MA Learning, Technology and Education from the University of Nottingham focussing on online learning. At a time when the study of geography has never been more important, Bridgette is passionate about creating content which supports students in achieving their potential in geography and builds their confidence.