Case Studies: Contrasting Vulnerabilities to Climate Change (DP IB Geography)

Revision Note

Case Study: Bangladesh

  • Bangladesh is mostly a low-lying, flat delta 

  • It is vulnerable to any changes in sea levels and flooding because:

    • 75% of the country is less than 10 m above sea level

    • The Ganges, Brahmaputra and Meghna rivers converge in Bangladesh

    • 80% of the country sits on the low-lying floodplains of the delta 

    • The country is already prone to flooding and tropical monsoon conditions

  • Seasonal flooding is normal and necessary to provide fertile soil and irrigation

  • But the size, intensity, and frequency of these events have increased

  • The monsoon rainfall is predicted to rise by 40% by 2030 

    • In 1998, 75% of Bangladesh was flooded, making 30 million people homeless

    • Over 1,000 people died

    • 700,000 hectares of crops were destroyed

  • Bangladesh's Flood Action Plan, 1988, aimed to protect the country from future flooding 

  • It was funded by the World Bank and a number of HICs

  • Measures included:

    • Monitoring of flood levels 

    • Effective flood warning systems

    • Construction of levees and embankments, which also provide protection from flooding by tidal waves and storm surges

    • Building 200 flood shelters on stilts for evacuated people

    • Creating flood water storage systems

    • Diverting flood water from buildings with 5000 km of drainage channels

    • Reducing deforestation

  • The FAP was not considered a success because:

    • Many parts of the project were never completed, including the dams and floodwater storage areas, due to inadequate funding and corruption

    • There was later a recognition that some flooding was necessary to maintain agriculture in many areas

    • 8 million people were forced to move to accommodate the FAP constructions

    • Changing the channel upstream meant that areas downstream suffered more

    • The government cannot afford the maintenance costs 

Case Study: Ghana

  • Ghana is one of Africa's fastest-growing economies

  • But 45% of the workforce is still employed in agriculture

  • Ghana is vulnerable to drought and reduced rainfall, which threaten food and energy security

    • Rainfall is expected to decrease 4% by 2040

  • Ghana is also expected to become hotter and drier in the future

    • Mean annual temperatures have increased by 1°C from 1960

    • Projected to increase by a further 1-3°C by the 2060s

  • 25% of the population live in rapidly developing urban areas along the coast

    • Sea-level rise is expected to be 75–190 mm by 2100

Key Climate Change Impacts

Industry

Impact

Agriculture

Increased loss and failure of crops

Shorter growing season

Loss of fertile land and desertification

Increased pest and crop diseases

Fisheries

Reduced productivity

Reduced fish stocks

Loss of food source

Loss of income

Energy

Reduced hydropower production

Increased costs and price rises

Intermittent services

Water

Decline in water quality

Sea water ingress and contamination of groundwater

Drought

Political tension between surrounding countries 

Human Health

Increased vector- and waterborne diseases

Increased respiratory diseases

Increased burden on healthcare systems

  • The National Adaptation Plan (NAP) aims to address climate change impacts in an "integrated, coordinated and sustainable manner"

  • Adaptations have included:

    • Infrastructure development of dams, levees and seawalls

    • Preserving and restoring natural habitats, such as mangrove swamps, to provide ecosystem-based services

    • Capacity development through teaching people new techniques and how to empower themselves

Comparison of Contrasting Vulnerabilities to Climate Change

Factor

Bangladesh

Ghana

Geographical

Low-lying coastal

Tropical monsoon climate

 2 ecological zones: southern forest (30%) and the northern savannah

Tropical climate influenced by the West African monsoon winds

Social

High population density on low-lying floodplains

Inadequate housing and infrastructure

Lack of awareness and education

Over 55% of the population resides in urban areas, of which 25% are along low-lying coastal regions

Increased rural-urban migration

Economic

Lower middle-income, developing country with high and growing levels of income and wealth inequality

Services sector contribution to GDP: 54.6%

Agriculture contribution to GDP: 12.6%  But largest employer at 37.7%

Lower middle-income, developing country with a stable and democratic government

70% of the country’s land area is dedicated to agriculture

Early transition to an industry- and service-based economy. Fuelled by newly discovered offshore oil resources

45% of the workforce is dependent on rainfed agriculture

Fisheries sector contribution to GDP: 4.5% 

Policy and Governance

Bangladesh Climate Change Strategy and Action Plan (BCCSAP) and the National Adaptation Program of Action (NAPA) 

National Adaptation Planning (NAP) by government through education, sector-specific and local-level planning

Adaptive Capacity

Hindered by limited resources, economic constraints, and lack of technology

 

Government supported climate-smart agriculture and alternative livelihood systems

Vulnerability to

More intense rain

Increased intensity and frequency of cyclones and storms

Increased mean sea levels

Food insecurity

Higher temperatures

Decrease in precipitation

Increased rates of drought

Food insecurity

Water stress

Increased stresses on health 

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