Probability Toolkit (Edexcel IGCSE Maths)

Exam Questions

3 hours49 questions
1
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2 marks

The probability that a biased dice will land on a five is 0.3

Megan is going to roll the dice 400 times.

Work out an estimate for the number of times the dice will land on a five.

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2a
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1 mark

Jane has a packet of seeds.
The probability that a seed will grow is 0.75

What is the probability that a seed will not grow?

2b
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2 marks

Jane plants 200 of these seeds.

Estimate the number of the seeds that will grow.

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3a
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2 marks

There are some green counters, some yellow counters, some blue counters and some red counters in a bag.

The table shows the probabilities that a counter taken at random from the bag will be green or yellow or red.

Colour Green Yellow Blue Red
Probability 0.16 0.4   0.24

Mary takes at random a counter from the bag.

Work out the probability that the counter will be blue.

3b
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2 marks

Mary puts the counter back into the bag.
There are 125 counters in the bag.

Work out the number of green counters in the bag.

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4a
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2 marks

There are some black pens, some blue pens, some red pens and some green pens in a box.

The table shows the probabilities that a pen taken at random from the box will be black or will be blue or will be red.

colour black blue red green
probability 0.3 0.2 0.4  


There are 200 pens in the box.

Work out the number of black pens in the box.

4b
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2 marks

A pen is taken at random from the box.

Work out the probability that the pen will be green.

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5a
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2 marks

Here is a five-sided spinner.

q5-5-1-easy-edexcel-gcse-maths

The table shows the probabilities that the spinner will land on A or on B or on C or on D.

Letter A B C D E
Probability 0.25 0.10 0.20 0.15  

Kirsty spins the spinner once.

Work out the probability that the spinner will land on E.

5b
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3 marks

Chris is going to spin the spinner 60 times.

Work out an estimate for the number of times the spinner will land either on A or on B.

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6
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2 marks

Each time John plays a game, the probability that he wins the game is 0.65

John is going to play the game 300 times.

Work out an estimate for the number of games that John wins.

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7a
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2 marks

A tin contains tea bags with a choice of four different flavours of tea.
The four flavours of tea are Assam or Darjeeling or Nilgiri or Rize.

Sara takes at random a tea bag from the tin.

The table shows each of the probabilities that the flavour of the tea Sara takes is Assam or Darjeeling or Rize.

Flavour of tea Assam Darjeeling Nilgiri Rize
Probability 0.38 0.24   0.16

Work out the probability that the flavour of the tea Sara takes is Nilgiri.

7b
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2 marks

Work out the probability that the flavour of the tea Sara takes is either Darjeeling or Rize.

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8
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2 marks

The probability that a spinner will land on blue is 0.4

Rayyan is going to spin the spinner 280 times.
Work out an estimate for the number of times the spinner will land on blue.

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9
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3 marks

There are some ice lollies in a freezer.

The flavour of each ice lolly is banana or strawberry or mint or chocolate.

Julius takes at random an ice lolly from the freezer.

The table shows the probabilities that the flavour of the ice lolly that Julius takes is banana or strawberry or chocolate.

  Flavour banana strawberry mint chocolate
  Probability 0.35 0.32   0.12

Work out the probability that the flavour of the ice lolly that Julius takes is either strawberry or mint.

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10
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1 mark

A biased coin is thrown 250 times.

The relative frequency of Heads is worked out after every 50 throws.

Total number of throws 50 100 150 200 250
Relative frequency 0.4 0.29 0.4 0.32 0.3

Circle the best estimate of the probability of Heads.

0.3 0.32 0.342 0.4

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11
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1 mark

The probability of Heads when a biased coin is thrown is 0.6

The coin is thrown 500 times.

Circle the expected number of Tails.

20 200 250 300

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12a
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1 mark

Dora has the following number cards.

q4-paper5-nov2020-ocr-gcse-maths

She takes a card at random, replaces the card and then takes a second card.
She adds the numbers on the two cards she has taken and records the total.

Complete the following table to show all of her possible totals.

    First card

Second 
card

Total 2 2 3 5 6
2 4 4 5 7 8
2 4 4 5   8
3 5 5   8 9
5 7   8 10 11
6 8 8 9 11 12

12b
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1 mark

Find the probability that her total is

i)
an even number,

[2]

ii)
a multiple of 3 or 4.
[2]

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13
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1 mark

This spinner has two grey sections, two white sections and one black section.

q3a-paper6-june2019-ocr-gcse-maths

Vlad says

The probability of the spinner landing on black is 1 fifth.

Explain why Vlad is not correct.

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14a
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1 mark

Geoff has two fair spinners.

q3-paper5-nov2018-ocr-gcse-maths

He spins both spinners and multiplies the numbers on each spinner.

Complete the table.

Spinner B Spinner A
x 1 7 9
2 2 14 18
3 3 21 27
4 4 28  
5 5 35  

14b
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2 marks

Geoff wants to work out the probability that the outcome of the multiplication is an even number or a prime number.
Here is his working.

The probability the outcome is an even number is 6 over 12

The probability the outcome is a prime number is 3 over 12

The probability the outcome is an even number or a prime number is 6 over 12 plus 3 over 12 space equals space 9 over 12


Geoff is wrong.
Explain his error and give the correct answer.

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15a
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1 mark

Jeat is growing carrots from seed in his garden.
He plants 28 carrot seeds but only 12 grow.

Jeat says

   The probability of one of my carrot seeds growing is 3 over 7.

Use Jeat’s result to show that he is correct.

15b
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3 marks

A farmer uses this probability to calculate how many carrot seeds he should plant to grow 10000 carrots.

(i)
How many seeds should he plant?

....................... seeds [2]

(ii)
Explain why it may not be sensible for the farmer to use Jeat’s experimental probability to calculate the number of seeds he should plant.

[1]

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16
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4 marks

This is a fair 5-sided spinner.

q6a-paper6-june2017-ocr-gcse-maths

Ciara spins the spinner twice and records the product of the two scores.

i)
Complete the table.
Second spin First spin
x 1 2 2 3 4
1 1        
2     4    
2          
3          
4       12  

[2]

ii)
Find the probability that the product is a multiple of 3.

[2]

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1
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3 marks

One of the teachers at a school is chosen at random.

The probability that this teacher is female is 3 over 5

There are 36 male teachers at the school.

Work out the total number of teachers at the school.

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2a
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2 marks

There are only red counters, blue counters, white counters and black counters in a bag.

The table shows the probability that a counter taken at random from the bag will be red or blue.

Colour red blue white black
Probability 0.2 0.5    

The number of white counters in the bag is the same as the number of black counters in the bag.

Tania takes at random a counter from the bag.

Work out the probability that Tania takes a white counter.

2b
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2 marks

There are 240 counters in the bag.

Work out the number of red counters in the bag.

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3
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3 marks

Rhiana plays a game.

The probability that she will lose the game is 0.32
The probability that she will draw the game is 0.05

Rhiana is going to play the game 200 times.

Work out an estimate for the number of times Rhiana will win the game.

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4a
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3 marks

Here is a four sided spinner.
The spinner is biased.

q4-1-5-medium-edexcel-gcse-maths

The table shows the probabilities that the spinner will land on 1 or on 3

Number 1 2 3 4
Probability 0.2   0.1  


The probability that the spinner will land on 2 is the same as the probability that the spinner will land on 4

Work out the probability that the spinner will land on 4.

4b
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2 marks

Shunya is going to spin the spinner 200 times.

Work out an estimate for the number of times the spinner will land on 3.

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5
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3 marks

Carol spins a spinner 80 times.

The table shows information about her results.

Outcome Frequency
J 39
K 25
L 16



Dan spins this spinner 300 times.

Work out an estimate for the number of times that Dan will get an L.

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6
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3 marks

The table shows the probabilities that a biased dice will land on 2, on 3, on 4, on 5 and on 6

Number on dice 1 2 3 4 5 6
Probability   0.17 0.18 0.09 0.15 0.1

Neymar rolls the biased dice 200 times.

Work out an estimate for the total number of times the dice will land on 1 or on 3.

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7
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2 marks

There are only red counters, blue counters, green counters and yellow counters in a bag.

The table shows the probabilities of picking at random a red counter and picking at random a yellow counter.

Colour red blue green yellow
Probability 0.24     0.32


The probability of picking a blue counter is the same as the probability of picking a green counter.

Complete the table.

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8a
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1 mark

When a drawing pin is dropped it can land point down or point up.

Lucy, Mel and Tom each dropped the drawing pin a number of times.

The table shows the number of times the drawing pin landed point down and the number of times the drawing pin landed point up for each person.

  Lucy Mel Tom
point down 31 53 16
point up 14 27 9

Rachael is going to drop the drawing pin once.

Whose results will give the best estimate for the probability that the drawing pin will land point up?

Give a reason for your answer.

8b
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2 marks

Stuart is going to drop the drawing pin twice.

Use all the results in the table to work out an estimate for the probability that the drawing pin will land point up the first time and point down the second time.

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9a
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2 marks

There are only blue cubes, red cubes and yellow cubes in a box.

The table shows the probability of taking at random a blue cube from the box.

Colour blue red yellow
Probability 0.2    


The number of red cubes in the box is the same as the number of yellow cubes in the box.

Complete the table.

9b
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2 marks

There are 12 blue cubes in the box.

Work out the total number of cubes in the box.

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10a
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2 marks

ξ = {even numbers}
A = {factors of 8}
B = {factors of 20}
List the members of the set A U B.

10b
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2 marks

A number is chosen at random from set B.

Find the probability that the number is in set (A ∩ B)

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11a
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2 marks

ξ = {whole numbers}
A = {factors of 100}
B = {multiples of 5}

List the members of the set AB.

11b
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2 marks

A number is chosen at random from set A.

Find the probability it is not in set B.

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12
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1 mark

The table gives information about the amounts of money, in euros, that 70 of Anjali’s friends spent last Saturday.

Money spent (S euros) Frequency
0 space less than space S space less-than or slanted equal to space 8 6
8 space less than space S space less-than or slanted equal to space 16 14
16 space less than space S space less-than or slanted equal to space 24 19
24 space less than space S space less-than or slanted equal to space 32 25
32 space less than space S space less-than or slanted equal to space 40 6

One of Anjali’s 70 friends is going to be chosen at random.

Find the probability that this friend spent more than 24 euros last Saturday.

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13
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4 marks

Toy cars are made in a factory.
The toy cars are made for 15 hours each day.
5 toy cars are made every 12 seconds.

For the toy cars made each day, the probability of a toy car being faulty is 0.002

Work out an estimate of the number of faulty toy cars that are made each day.

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14a
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3 marks

In a bag there are only red bricks, blue bricks, green bricks and orange bricks.

The number of green bricks in the bag is the same as the number of orange bricks.

Jiao takes at random a brick from the bag.
The table gives the probability that Jiao takes a red brick and the probability that he takes a blue brick.

  Colour red blue green orange
  Probability 0.26 0.3    

Work out the probability that Jiao takes an orange brick.

14b
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3 marks

Jiao puts the brick back into the bag.
There are 91 red bricks in the bag.

Jiao is going to build a tower using all the red bricks and all the blue bricks but no other bricks.
The tower will be in the shape of a cuboid.
There will be 4 bricks in each layer of the tower.

Work out how many layers the tower will have.

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15
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2 marks

Antonio rolls two fair six-sided dice and calculates the difference between the scores.
For example, if the two scores are 2 and 5 or 5 and 2 then the difference is 3.

Complete the sample space diagram to show the possible outcomes from Antonio’s dice.

Dice 2

Dice 1 difference 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 0          
2         3  
3   1        
4            
5   3        
6            

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1
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2 marks

Bill has some counters in a bag.

3 of the counters are red.
7 of the counters are blue.
The rest of the counters are yellow.

Bill takes at random a counter from the bag.

The probability that he takes a yellow counter is 2 over 7

How many yellow counters are in the bag before Bill takes a counter?

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2a
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2 marks

Karl wants to raise money for charity.
He designs a game for people to play.

Karl uses a fair 10-sided dice for the game.
The dice is numbered from 1 to 10

Each person will roll the dice once.
A person wins the game if the dice lands on a multiple of 4

Ali plays the game once.

Work out the probability that Ali will win the game.

2b
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3 marks

Each person pays 30p to play the game once.
The prize for a win is £1

Karl thinks that the game will be played 100 times.

Work out an estimate for how much money Karl will raise for charity.

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3
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3 marks

There are only blue counters, green counters, red counters and yellow counters in a bag.

Olga is going to take at random a counter from the bag.

The table shows the probability that Olga will take a blue counter and the probability that she will take a yellow counter.

Colour blue green red yellow
Probability 0.4     0.15


The number of red counters in the bag is 4 times the number of green counters in the bag.

Complete the table.

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4
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3 marks

There are 5 girls, 6 boys and some adults in a room.
Jenny selects at random one of these people.

The probability that Jenny selects a girl is 1 third

Work out the probability that Jenny selects an adult.

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5
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3 marks

There are only blue cubes, yellow cubes and green cubes in a bag.

There are

  twice as many blue cubes as yellow cubes
and  four times as many green cubes as blue cubes.


Hannah takes at random a cube from the bag.

Work out the probability that Hannah takes a yellow cube.

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6a
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1 mark

There are only blue counters, yellow counters, green counters and red counters in a bag.
A counter is taken at random from the bag.

The table shows the probabilities of getting a blue counter or a yellow counter or a green counter.

Colour blue yellow green red
Probability 0.2 0.35 0.4  


Work out the probability of getting a red counter.

6b
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2 marks

What is the least possible number of counters in the bag?
You must give a reason for your answer.

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7a
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4 marks

There are some counters in a bag.
The counters are red or white or blue or yellow.

Bob is going to take at random a counter from the bag.

The table shows each of the probabilities that the counter will be blue or will be yellow.

Colour red white blue yellow
Probability     0.45 0.25


There are 18 blue counters in the bag.

The probability that the counter Bob takes will be red is twice the probability that the counter will be white.

Work out the number of red counters in the bag.

7b
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1 mark

A marble is going to be taken at random from a box of marbles.
The probability that the marble will be silver is 0.5

There must be an even number of marbles in the box.

Explain why.

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8
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3 marks

There are only red counters, blue counters and purple counters in a bag.
The ratio of the number of red counters to the number of blue counters is 3 : 17

Sam takes at random a counter from the bag.
The probability that the counter is purple is 0.2

Work out the probability that Sam takes a red counter.

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9a
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1 mark

Four friends each throw a biased coin a number of times.
The table shows the number of heads and the number of tails each friend got.

  Ben Helen Paul Sharif
heads 34 66 80 120
tails 8 12 40 40


The coin is to be thrown one more time.

Which of the four friends' results will give the best estimate for the probability that the coin will land heads?
Justify your answer.

9b
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2 marks

Paul says,

"With this coin you are twice as likely to get heads as to get tails."

Is Paul correct?
Justify your answer.

9c
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2 marks

The coin is to be thrown twice.

Use all the results in the table to work out an estimate for the probability that the coin will land heads both times.

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10a
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2 marks

There are 54 fish in a tank.
Some of the fish are white and the rest of the fish are red.

Jeevan takes at random a fish from the tank.
The probability that he takes a white fish is 4 over 9

Work out the number of white fish originally in the tank.

10b
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2 marks

Jeevan puts the fish he took out, back into the tank.
He puts some more white fish into the tank.

Jeevan takes at random a fish from the tank.
The probability that he takes a white fish is now 1 half

Work out the number of white fish Jeevan put into the tank.

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11
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4 marks

There are 90 counters in a bag.
Each counter in the bag is either red or blue so that

the number of red counters : the number of blue counters = 2 space colon space 13

Li is going to put some more red counters in the bag so that

the probability of taking at random a red counter from the bag is 1 third

Work out the number of red counters that Li is going to put in the bag.

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12
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4 marks

Becky has a biased 6-sided dice.

The table gives information about the probability that, when the dice is thrown, it will land on each number.

  Number 1 2 3 4 5 6
  Probability 2 x 0.18 2 x 3 x 0.26 x

Becky is going to throw the dice 200 times.

Work out an estimate for the number of times that the dice will land on an even number.

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13
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5 marks

A bag contains only pink sweets, white sweets, green sweets and red sweets.

The table gives each of the probabilities that, when a sweet is taken at random from the bag, the sweet will be green or the sweet will be red.

Sweet pink white green red
Probability     0.2 0.35

The ratio

number of pink sweets : number of white sweets = 2 : 1

There are 28 red sweets in the bag.

Work out the number of white sweets in the bag.

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14a
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3 marks

Grace has a biased 5-sided spinner.

q6-4ma1-1h-qp-june21-paper1-igcse-maths

Grace is going to spin the arrow on the spinner once.

The table below gives the probabilities that the spinner will land on red or on blue or on green.

Colour Red Blue Green Orange Pink
Probability 0.20 0.12 0.08    

The probability that the spinner will land on orange is 3 times the probability that the spinner will land on pink.

Work out the probability that the spinner will land on orange.

14b
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2 marks

Grace spins the arrow on the spinner 150 times.

Work out an estimate for the number of times the spinner lands on blue.

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15
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4 marks

A bag contains only red beads, blue beads, green beads and yellow beads.

The table gives the probabilities that, when a bead is taken at random from the bag, the bead will be blue or the bead will be yellow.

Colour red blue green yellow
Probability   0.24   0.31

The probability that the bead will be green is twice the probability that the bead will be red.

Sofia takes at random a bead from the bag.
She writes down the colour of the bead and puts the bead back into the bag.

She does this 180 times.

Work out an estimate for the number of times she takes a red bead from the bag.

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16
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4 marks

Here is a biased 5-sided spinner.

q3-paper1h-jan2019-edexcel-igcse-maths

When the spinner is spun, it can land on red, blue, green, brown or yellow.

The table gives the probabilities that the spinner lands on red or on blue or on green.

Colour red blue green brown yellow
Probability 0.15 0.26 0.33    

When the spinner is spun once, the probability that the spinner lands on brown is 0.06 more than the spinner lands on yellow.

Jennie spins the spinner 150 times.

Work out an estimate for the number of times the spinner lands on yellow.

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17
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3 marks

In a bag there are blue discs, green discs and white discs.

There are four times as many blue discs as green discs.
number of blue discs : number of white discs = 3 : 5

One disc is selected at random.

Work out the probability that the disc is either blue or white.

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18
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4 marks

A bag contains some counters.

  • There are 300 counters in the bag.
  • There are only red, white and blue counters in the bag.
  • The probability of picking a blue counter is 23 over 50
  • The ratio of red counters to white counters is 2 : 1.

Calculate the number of red counters in the bag.

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