Reasons for & Implications of Different Population Structures (Cambridge (CIE) IGCSE Geography)
Revision Note
Written by: Bridgette Barrett
Reviewed by: Jenna Quinn
Population Pyramids
The characteristics of a population—the distribution of age, sex, ethnicity, religion, etc.—are known as the population structure
The population structure is the result of changes in:
fertility
mortality
migration
The two main components of age and sex can be shown on a population pyramid
Population pyramids
Population pyramids (also known as an age structure graph) are used to display the gender and age structure of a given population
They illustrate the distribution of the population across age groups and between male and female
They enable governments nationally and regionally to assess the needs of the population for services such as healthcare and education
This means the governments can estimate and plan for spending
As countries develop and pass through the stages of demographic transition, the shape of the population pyramid changes
The population pyramid can be used to identify the following groups:
Young dependents
Old dependents
Economically active (working population)
Dependency ratio
LEDCs like Niger have a concave pyramid shape
Stages 1 and 2 of the model and this indicates:
high birth rate
low life expectancy
high death rate but starting to decrease
high infant mortality rate
a young dependent population dominates
LEDCs/NICs that are a little further along the demographic transition, such as Nepal, have a convex pyramid shape
Stage 3 of the demographic transition model
This indicates:
decreasing birth rate
increasing life expectancy
decreasing death rate
decreasing infant mortality
larger working-age population
MEDC countries such as the USA have a column-shape
Stage 4 of the demographic transition model
This indicates:
decreasing birth rate
increasing life expectancy
decreasing death rate
low infant mortality
larger working-age population
MEDC countries such as Japan have a pentagon shape with a narrowing base
Stage 5 of the demographic transition model
This indicates:
Decreasing birth rate
Increasing life expectancy
The death rate is higher than the birth rate due to the ageing population
Low infant mortality
Ageing population: older dependent population
Implications of population structure
Population pyramids mean that population issues can be identified
There are a range of issues, including:
ageing populations
falling birth rates
impacts of migration
Ageing populations
Many HICs are experiencing ageing populations and an increase in the older dependent population; the implications of this include increased:
pension payments
need for care homes
pressure on the healthcare service and social care
It also results in fewer workers, which means:
governments are not able to collect as much tax
some areas suffer worker shortages
Falling birth rates
Countries experiencing falling birth rates include many MEDCs and NICs; the implications of this are:
school closures due to fewer children
future workforce shortages
Migration
In some countries, migration can lead to an imbalance in the population structure
The UAE has significantly more males than females
Approximately 29% of the population are males between the ages of 25 and 39, whereas only 10.5% of the population are women between 25 and 39
This is the result of the migration of males to the UAE to work in the oil, gas and construction industries
Rapid population growth in some areas as a result of migration can lead to:
increased pressure on services such as healthcare and schools
a shortage of housing
increased traffic congestion
increased water and air pollution
a shortage of food
a lack of clean water
Examiner Tips and Tricks
When interpreting a population pyramid, you need to look at four key areas
Young dependents: is the birth rate high or low?
Working population: are there enough people of working age to support the young and old dependents?
Old dependents: is it large or small? If it is large, then life expectancy is high
Male-to-female split: are there any noticeable differences between the numbers of males and females?
To calculate the dependency ratio:
Case Study: Japan
Case Study
Japan's population is decreasing
It has fallen from 128 million in 2007 to 125.8 million in 2020
The fertility rate is 1.36 births per woman, which is well below the 2.1 fertility replacement rate
The birth rate is 6.8 per 1000
The death rate is 11.1 per 1000
The death rate has increased from 6 per 1000 in 1979
This is not because healthcare or diets are worse but because there are far more elderly people who are more likely to become ill and die
Japan has the highest life expectancy in the world at 84.36 years
Increasing life expectancy in Japan has led to an ageing population with an increasing proportion of elderly dependents
The issues that this has led to include:
increased pressure on health and social care
greater cost of providing pensions
more use of public transport as the elderly age group is less likely to drive
increased need for care homes
shortages of workers as more people retire and there are not enough economically active people to take their place
These issues are further increased by the falling birth rate
The future impact on Japan may include:
increased taxes to cover health, social care and pension costs
continued population decrease
reduced economic development due to a shortage of workers
reconsideration of the immigration policies, which are currently very strict
introduction of pro-natalist policies to increase the birth rate and encourage larger families
Worked Example
Study Figure 1, which shows population pyramids of the structure of Mexico's population in 1980 and 2010.
Describe the changes in Mexico's population structure between 1980 and 2010
[3 Marks]
Answer
Remember, your answer needs to be a comparison so it needs to state 'more' or 'less'
Any three of the following:
In 2010, there are:
More economically active/working 15-64-year-olds [1]
More elderly/old dependents/65+ [1]
More young dependents in total/bands up to 19 become more even [1]
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