Probability Distributions (Edexcel GCSE Statistics: Higher)

Exam Questions

1 hour13 questions
1a
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1 mark

Pavithra has a bag containing a mixture of red and white beads.

She decides to conduct an experiment to see how many times she obtains a red bead, when she picks a bead at random from the bag 3 times in a row.

She selects a bead from the bag, records its colour and places it back in the bag. She repeats this 3 times.

Pavithra believes that the probability of selecting a red bead can be modelled by the binomial distribution straight B open parentheses 3 comma space 0.6 close parentheses.

Show that straight P open parentheses 3 space reds close parentheses equals 0.216

1b
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2 marks

Work out the probability that Pavithra selects exactly 1 red bead.

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2
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3 marks

Theo investigates the lengths of a group of 82 dachshunds.

He calculates that the mean length of the dachshunds is 59 cm with standard deviation 4 cm.

56 of the dachshunds are between 55 cm and 63 cm.

Theo states that the lengths are normally distributed.

Do you agree?
Justify your answer.

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3
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2 marks

An activity consists of rolling 5 fair 6-sided dice and the number of dice landing on an odd value is recorded.

Write down two conditions required that would make a binomial distribution a suitable model for the number of odd values recorded.

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4a
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1 mark

The mean of the daily rainfall during the spring and the mean of the daily rainfall during the winter in a country have been recorded each year for 30 years.

The graphs below show the distributions of the mean rainfall in the spring and winter months.

A graph with a horizontal axis labelled 'Rainfall (mm)' that goes from 30 to 100. Two bell-shaped curves are shown on the graph. The first curve is taller and thinner, centred around 53, and labelled 'Winter'. The second one is shorter and wider, centred around 80, and labelled'Spring'.

Write down the name of the distribution that is suggested by each of these graphs.

4b
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2 marks

Comment on the difference between the means of the two different distributions.

4c
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2 marks

The standard deviation for the distribution of the winter rainfall is 3 mm.

Using the graph for the spring rainfall, calculate an estimate for the standard deviation of the spring rainfall.

4d
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1 mark

The maximum height of the graph above the rainfall axis for the winter rainfall is greater than the maximum height above the rainfall axis for the spring rainfall.

Explain why.

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5
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3 marks

A biased coin is thrown 4 times.

The probability that the coin will lands on heads is 0.7.

Work out the probability that the coin will land on heads exactly 3 times.

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1a
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1 mark

Isobel has collected data about the times taken by a group of students to solve a puzzle.

The table gives some of the percentiles of her data.

Percentile

Time (minutes)

1st

4.28

5th

4.31

16th

5.88

40th

6.17

60th

7.23

84th

7.52

99th

9.12

Isobel plans to use the mean and standard deviation of the times of these students to summarise her data.

Give a reason why Isobel's plans are appropriate.

1b
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4 marks

Isobel claims that the times of these students can be modelled using a normal distribution with mean 6.7 minutes and standard deviation 0.82 minutes.

Assess whether or not the data support Isobel's claim.

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2a
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2 marks

A particular type of chocolate bar comes in a packet of 10. Each individual chocolate bar inside the packet has a coloured wrapper. The colour of the wrapper for each chocolate bar is assigned at random.

The mean number of chocolate bars with a purple wrapper in a pack of 9 bars is 4.

Vivienne suggests that the number of chocolate bars with purple wrappers in a pack of 9 chocolate bars can be modelled by a binomial distribution.

Consider the conditions required for a binomial distribution and explain why Vivienne's suggestion is appropriate.

2b
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1 mark

One chocolate bar is selected at random from a packet of 9 chocolate bars.

Find the probability that the colour of its wrapper is purple.

2c
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2 marks

Simon buys a pack of 9 chocolate bars.

Find the probability that exactly 5 of the chocolate bars will have a purple wrapper.

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3a
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1 mark

A manufacturer makes chairs. The probability that a chair does not pass inspection is 5 %, the probability that a chair does pass inspection is 95 %.

The manufacturer is planning to sell chairs in sets of 6 and wants to model the the number of chairs passing inspection using a binomial distribution.

Write down one condition that needs to be assumed so that the binomial distribution is an appropriate model to use.

3b
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3 marks

A set of 6 chairs is to be selected at random.

Work out the probability that the set will contain at least 5 chairs that pass inspection.
Give your answer correct to 3 decimal places.

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4a
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2 marks

An activity consists of rolling 5 fair 6-sided dice and the number of dice landing on an odd value is recorded.

Calculate the probability that all of the 5 dice land on an odd value.
Give your answer as a fraction.

4b
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3 marks

Calculate that at least 2 of the 5 dice land on an odd number.
Give your answer as a fraction.

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5a
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5 marks

A large sample of films are classified as either blockbusters or as independent films.

Production costs for independent films have a mean of $ 23 million and a standard deviation of $ 4 million.

Production costs for independent films can be modelled by a normal distribution.

Nadine says,

"Less than 85 % of independent films have production costs of between $ 11 million and $ 27 million"

Use statistical calculations to assess Nadine's conclusion.

5b
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1 mark

The diagram below shows a sketch of the distribution of production costs of the blockbusters in the sample.

Graph showing production costs in millions of dollars on the x-axis (going from 0 to 70) with a dashed curve labelled "Blockbusters" . The dashed curve starts at 10, goes up to a peak at 31 and returns close to the x-axis at 70.

Explain why it is not appropriate to model the production costs of blockbusters using a normal distribution.

5c
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2 marks

On the same grid, sketch a diagram showing the distribution of production costs for the independent films.

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1
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6 marks

Vinnie believes that he has a biased dice, where the probability of rolling a six is 0.3.

In an experiment, Vinnie rolls the dice 4 times in a row.

He then repeats this experiment 200 times.

The table shows information about the number of sixes rolled for each experiment.

Number of sixes

Frequency

4

48

3

82

2

53

1

15

0

2

Determine whether or not the model straight B left parenthesis 4 comma space 0.3 right parenthesis is suitable for Vinnie's experiment.

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2a
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2 marks

The mean of the daily rainfall during the spring and the mean of the daily rainfall during the winter in a country have been recorded each year for 30 years.

The graphs below show the distributions of the mean rainfall in the spring and winter months.

A graph with a horizontal axis labelled 'Rainfall (mm)' that goes from 30 to 100. Two bell-shaped curves are shown on the graph. The first curve is taller and thinner, centred around 53, and labelled 'Winter'. The second one is shorter and wider, centred around 80, and labelled'Spring'.

The standard deviation for the distribution of the winter rainfall is 3 mm.

Oscar says that the standard deviation of the daily rainfall for the past 30 years will also be 3 mm.

Explain whether or not Oscar is correct.

2b
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5 marks

Eunice assumes that the means of the daily rainfall each year are independent.

She works out the probability that the means of the daily winter rainfall are greater than 47 mm for 3 consecutive years.

She concludes that this probability is greater than 0.92.

Using the model for the daily winter rainfall, assess Eunice's conclusion.

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3a
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2 marks

The table below gives information about the distribution of eye colour in a particular population

It shows the proportion of people with blue, brown, green or hazel eyes.

Eye colour

Blue

Brown

Green

Hazel

Percentage of population

21 %

67 %

2 %

10 %

8 people from the population are randomly selected.

(i) Name the probability distribution that can be used to model the number of people from these 8 people who will have blue eyes.

[1]

(ii) Write down one condition needed so that this distribution is a suitable model.

[1]

3b
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3 marks

Work out the probability that exactly 1 person from these 8 people will have blue eyes.

3c
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3 marks

On a different occasion, n people from the population are randomly selected.

The probability that at least one of these n people will have blue eyes is greater than 80 %.

What can you conclude, if anything, about the value of n?
You must show your working.

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