Probability Basics (Edexcel GCSE Statistics: Higher)

Exam Questions

1 hour16 questions
1a
Sme Calculator
2 marks

Diletta found information about the weather in a city.

The table gives, for this city, some information about the number of days with snowfall during December.

Month

February

December

Absolute risk of snowfall on a day

0.379

Using the information in the table, find the number of days with snowfall in February for a leap year.
You must show your working.

1b
Sme Calculator
2 marks

The relative risk for snowfall to occur on a day in December compared to a day in February is 0.84

Find the number of days with snowfall in December.
You must show your working.

Did this page help you?

2
Sme Calculator
1 mark

Alexi has collected data about the times, in seconds, of elite male athletes to run 100 m.

The table gives some of the percentiles of his data.

Percentile

Time (seconds)

1st

9.82

10th

10.11

25th

10.29

50th

10.49

75th

10.69

90th

10.87

99th

11.16

One of the athletes that Alexi collected data about is selected at random.

Find the probability that the time this athlete took to run 100 m was between 10.29 seconds and 10.87 seconds.

Did this page help you?

3a
Sme Calculator
2 marks

A manager of a gym has 6 different personal trainers that can be given new clients.

She wants to use the results of throwing a dice to simulate which instructor is selected for a new client.

She assumes that each instructor is equally likely to be available to take on new clients.

She wants to use the simulation in order to predict how many clients will be assigned a personal trainer before three consecutive clients are assigned to the same personal trainer.

Explain how she could use a dice to carry out the simulation.

3b
Sme Calculator
3 marks

The gym has also opened a new shop selling certain items of gym equipment: free weights, exercise balls and resistance bands.

The table gives, for each item of gym equipment, the fraction of the total number of items sold in other shops in the same chain of gyms.

Free weights

Exercise ball

Resistance band

2 over 6

1 over 6

3 over 6

The manager wants to predict how many of each item of gym equipment the shop will sell in the first week of opening the shop.

She assigns the numbers shown in the table below to each item.

Free weights

Exercise ball

Resistance band

1, 2, 3

4, 5, 6

7, 8, 9

She will then use a calculator to generate 30 random numbers between 0 and 9 to simulate 30 customers.

Comment on the suitability of the manager's plan.

Did this page help you?

4a
Sme Calculator
1 mark

The table gives information about the numbers of competitors who signed up to different games in a competition. A competitor can only sign up to play in one type of game.

Game

Number of competitors

Age category

Total

Child

Adult

Chess

35

25

60

Go

21

23

44

Mah Jong

14

32

46

Total

70

80

150

A competitor is picked at random from the 150 competitors.

C is the event that the competitor chosen is a child.

G is the event that the competitor chosen is playing Go.

M is the event that the competitor chosen is playing Mah Jong.

Explain why the event C and the event G are not mutually exclusive.

4b
Sme Calculator
2 marks

Find straight P open parentheses G space or space M close parentheses.

Did this page help you?

5
Sme Calculator
2 marks

Indie is investigating the 450 people in his sailing club.

He collected information from 25 randomly selected members of the club.

Part of the spreadsheet he used to collect the information is shown below.

Member number

Name

Wear a watch? (1 = Yes, 0 = No)

Age (years)

1

Jessie

1

16

2

Seren

1

27

...

...

...

...

24

Marcus

0

25

25

Loïc

1

48

Total

19

848

Indie uses these results to find estimates for all members of the sailing club.

Find his estimate for the number of members in the sailing club who wear a watch.

Did this page help you?

6a
Sme Calculator
1 mark

Amber and Naomi have a spinner that can land on green, on purple, or on orange. They want to estimate the probability that when the spinner is spun it will land on purple.

Amber spins the spinner 10 times and the spinner lands on purple exactly 2 times.

Amber uses her results to find an estimate for the probability that the next time the spinner is spun it will land on purple.

Write down Amber’s estimate.

6b
Sme Calculator
1 mark

Naomi spins the spinner 60 times and records the colour the spinner lands on each time. The table shows the number of times that the spinner landed on each colour.

Colour

Frequency

Green

27

Purple

10

Orange

23

Naomi uses her results to find an estimate for the probability that the next time the spinner is spun it will land on purple.

Write down Naomi’s estimate.

6c
Sme Calculator
2 marks

Whose estimate is more reliable, Amber’s or Naomi’s? Give a reason for your answer.

6d
Sme Calculator
3 marks

Assess whether Naomi’s results suggest that the spinner might be biased against purple. Use the given data, and the expected results if the spinner was fair, to support your answer.

Did this page help you?

7
Sme Calculator
2 marks

Two fair spinners each have three sectors, numbered 1 to 3. The two spinners are spun together and the sum of the numbers indicated on each spinner is recorded.

Using a sample space diagram to help you, find the probability of the spinners indicating a sum:

(i) of exactly 3,

[1]

(ii) greater than 3.

[1]

Did this page help you?

1
Sme Calculator
3 marks

There are 13 coloured balls in container A and 11 coloured balls in container B.

In container A, there are 4 orange balls and 9 white balls.
in container B, there are 6 orange balls and 5 white balls.

Tanisha takes at random one ball from container A and one ball from container B.

Calculate the probability that the two balls selected by Tanisha are the same colour.

Did this page help you?

2a
Sme Calculator
2 marks

The Venn diagram shows probabilities relating to the three events X, Y and Z.

Venn diagram with three overlapping circles labelled X, Y, and Z. X overlaps with Y and Y overlaps with Z but X and Z do not overlap. The number 0.17 is in the region of X only, 0.02 is in the region where X and Y overlap each other, 0.28 is in the region of Y only, 0.11 is in the region where Y and Z overlap each other, 0.39 is in the region of Z only, and 0.03 is in region outside of all three circles.

Write down which two events from X, Y and Z are mutually exclusive.
Give a reason for your answer.

2b
Sme Calculator
1 mark

Find straight P left parenthesis Z right parenthesis

2c
Sme Calculator
2 marks

Find straight P open parentheses X space or space Z close parentheses

2d
Sme Calculator
2 marks

Complete the Venn diagram below to show the probabilities relating to the two events Y and Z.

Venn diagram with two circles overlapping, labelled Y and Z. There are no numbers filled in.

Did this page help you?

3a
Sme Calculator
2 marks

Humaira has a large box of dice.

She knows that 5 % of the dice in the box are biased.

All of the remaining dice are fair.

Humaira picks a dice at random, then replaces it in the box before picking a second dice at random from the same box.

She does not know if each dice she picked is biased or not.

Complete the probability tree diagram.

Probability tree diagram for picking biased and not biased dice. The first set of branches are for the first pick and are labelled 'Biased (0.05)' and 'Not biased'. Each branch from the first set has a pair of branches for the second pick also labelled 'Biased' and 'Not biased'.
3b
Sme Calculator
1 mark

Show that the probability that both dice that Humaira picked were not biased is 0.9025.

3c
Sme Calculator
3 marks

Humaira claims that the probability that at least one of the dice she picked is not biased is greater than 98 %.

Determine whether or not Humaira is correct.

Did this page help you?

4a
Sme Calculator
3 marks

The director of a company that sells smartphones wants to investigate the selling of additional features. The additional features available are: premium insurance open parentheses I close parentheses, cloud storage left parenthesis C right parenthesis and screen protection open parentheses S close parentheses.

Last week,

  • 90 smartphones were sold

  • 3 smartphones were sold with premium insurance, cloud storage and screen protection

  • 8 smartphones were sold with cloud storage and screen protection only

  • 2 smartphones were sold with premium insurance and screen protection only

  • 11 smartphones were sold with premium insurance and cloud storage only

  • 14 smartphones were sold with cloud storage only

  • 52 smartphones in total were sold with screen protection

  • 21 smartphones in total were sold with premium insurance

Complete the Venn diagram using this information.

Venn diagram with three intersecting circles, labelled I, C, and S. The number 3 is in the section where all three circles overlap. The number 8 is in the region where just the circles C and S overlap.
4b
Sme Calculator
5 marks

Siobhan picks at random a smartphone that was sold last week.

She thinks that the probability the smartphone has screen protection given that it has cloud storage, is greater than the probability that the smartphone has screen protection given than it does not have cloud storage.

Is Siobhan correct?
You must show your working.

4c
Sme Calculator
3 marks

The company also sells smart TVs, both new and second-hand.

The company director records whether the smart TVs were new or second-hand and whether or not a fault with the TV was reported within 1 year after being sold.

The table gives information about the smart TVs sold by the company in January 2023.

Number of smart TVs sold

Number of smart TVs reporting a fault in 1 year after being sold

New

275

22

Second-hand

300

72

Eric says that the relative risk of a second-hand smart TV developing a fault within 1 year of being sold, compared with a new smart TV developing a fault within 1 year of being sold, is 3

(i) Show that Eric is correct.

[2]

(ii) Interpret a relative risk of 3 in this context.

[1]

Did this page help you?

5
Sme Calculator
2 marks

A is the event that a student, in a particular school, studies French, where straight P left parenthesis A right parenthesis equals 0.4

B is the event that a student, from the same school, studies Spanish, where straight P open parentheses B close parentheses equals 0.5

Some students at the school study both French and Spanish, where straight P open parentheses A space and space B close parentheses equals 0.18

A student is picked at random from the students at the school.

Work out straight P left parenthesis A space or space B right parenthesis.

Did this page help you?

6a
Sme Calculator
3 marks

A cinema sells three types of tickets: Adult tickets, Child tickets, and Student tickets. A ticket can be for an afternoon showing or an evening showing.

The incomplete two-way table gives some information about the number of each type of ticket sold last Sunday.

Afternoon

Evening

Total

Adult

30

67

Child

21

Student

15

Total

120

180

Complete the two-way table.

6b
Sme Calculator
1 mark

One of the people at the cinema for an evening showing is selected at random.

Write down the probability that they have a student ticket.

6c
Sme Calculator
3 marks

The manager of the cinema states that

"For afternoon showings, a higher proportion of tickets sold are for children than for evening showings"

Use data from the table to explain whether the manager is correct or not.

Did this page help you?

1
Sme Calculator
5 marks

Abishek is investigating the types of devices that people use to access the internet on a regular basis.

Abishek asked 90 different people whether they used a desktop open parentheses D close parentheses, a laptop open parentheses L close parentheses or a smartphone open parentheses S close parentheses to access the internet regularly.

The incomplete Venn diagram gives some information about Abishek's results.

A Venn diagram with three circles labelled D, L, S that all overlap each other. 5 is in the region where all three circles overlap. 13 is in the region where D and S overlap only. 23 is in the region where L and S overlap only. 2 is outside all three circles.

One of the people that Abishek asked is chosen at random.

Given that, for this person,

straight P left parenthesis D right parenthesis equals 3 over 10 space space space space space space space space space space straight P left parenthesis L vertical line D right parenthesis equals 11 over 27 space space space space space space space space space space straight P open parentheses L space or space D close parentheses equals 29 over 45

complete the Venn diagram.

Did this page help you?

2a
Sme Calculator
1 mark

A manufacturer makes chairs and tables.

22 % of the items that are made by the company are tables.

5 % of the chairs made are found to not pass inspection.

11 % of the tables made are found to not pass inspection.

An item is to be picked at random.

Complete the probability tree diagram for this item.

Probability tree diagram with two sets of branches each with two outcomes for a company making tables and chairs. The first set of branches is labelled 'Item made' and has outcomes of 'Table (0.22)' and 'Chairs'. The second set of branches is labelled 'Inspection'. For the set of branches coming out from 'Table', the branches are labelled 'Passed' and 'Not passed'. For the set of branches coming out from 'Chair', the branches are labelled 'Passed (0.95)' and 'Not passed (0.05)'.
2b
Sme Calculator
2 marks

One of the the items that is made by the manufacturer is picked at random.

C is the event that the item is a chair.
I is the event that the item passed the inspection.

Find straight P open parentheses C vertical line I close parentheses.

Did this page help you?

3
Sme Calculator
2 marks

Q and R are two events such that

straight P open parentheses Q space and space R close parentheses equals 0.24 space space space space space space space space space space straight P open parentheses Q vertical line R close parentheses equals 0.3 space space space space space space space space space space straight P open parentheses R vertical line Q close parentheses equals 0.8

Genny says that

"Q and R are independent events".

Do you agree?
Explain why.

Did this page help you?