Rates of Change (Edexcel GCSE Statistics)

Revision Note

Crude Rates of Change

How do I calculate a crude rate of change?

  • Understanding rates of change in a population is important for planning purposes

    • For example, a town with a high birth rate may need to think about building more schools for the increasing number of children

  • A crude rate is a way to understand how things are changing in a population

    • It is often used to track births or deaths

      • But it can also be used to track other things, like marriages, unemployment, etc.

    • A crude rate normally tells you the number of births (or deaths, etc.) per 1000 people

  • To calculate the crude birth rate (for example) use the formula

    • crude space birth space rate equals fraction numerator number space of space births cross times 1000 over denominator total space population end fraction

      • This formula is will be given to you in a question on the exam if you need it

        • So you don't need to remember the formula, you just need to know how to use it

    • To calculate a crude rate for other things, replace 'number of births' in the formula with 'number of deaths', 'number of marriages', 'number of people unemployed', etc.

  • You may be given the crude birth rate (or death rate, etc.), and asked to work out one of the other values in the formula

    • If you know any two things from the formula you can find the third one

    • Substitute in the values you know

      • and solve to find the one you want to know

  • You can also calculate a crude rate per 100 people (instead of per 1000)

    • Replace 'cross times 1000' in the formula with 'cross times 100'

    • Only do this if a question tells you to

Worked Example

Last year a particular town had a population of 75 992.

(a) Given that there were 783 deaths during the year, find the crude death rate for the town. Give your answer correct to 3 decimal places.

Use  crude space death space rate equals fraction numerator number space of space deaths cross times 1000 over denominator total space population end fraction

fraction numerator 783 cross times 1000 over denominator 75992 end fraction equals 10.303716...

Round to 3 decimal places

10.304

You could also answer '10.304 deaths per 1000 of population', but it's not necessary to get full marks

The crude birth rate for that same town last year was 11.317.

(b) Find the number of births that occurred in the town during the year.

Substitute the values you know into crude space birth space rate equals fraction numerator number space of space births cross times 1000 over denominator total space population end fraction
It will be easier to replace 'number of births' with a letter like b

11.317 equals fraction numerator b cross times 1000 over denominator 75992 end fraction equals fraction numerator 1000 b over denominator 75992 end fraction

Multiply the '75992' across

table row cell 11.317 cross times 75992 end cell equals cell 1000 b end cell row blank blank blank row cell 860001.464 end cell equals cell 1000 b end cell end table

Divide both sides by 1000

table row cell fraction numerator 860001.464 over denominator 1000 end fraction end cell equals b row blank blank blank row cell 860.001464 end cell equals b end table

Round to the nearest whole number
(Number of births has to be a whole number!)

860

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Roger B

Author: Roger B

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Roger's teaching experience stretches all the way back to 1992, and in that time he has taught students at all levels between Year 7 and university undergraduate. Having conducted and published postgraduate research into the mathematical theory behind quantum computing, he is more than confident in dealing with mathematics at any level the exam boards might throw at you.

Dan Finlay

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Dan graduated from the University of Oxford with a First class degree in mathematics. As well as teaching maths for over 8 years, Dan has marked a range of exams for Edexcel, tutored students and taught A Level Accounting. Dan has a keen interest in statistics and probability and their real-life applications.