Estimation from Statistical Data (Edexcel GCSE Statistics)
Revision Note
Written by: Roger B
Reviewed by: Dan Finlay
Estimating Population Characteristics
How can I use samples to estimate population characteristics?
Summary statistics calculated from a sample can be used to estimate the same statistics for the population as a whole
e.g. the mean, median, range, quartiles and interquartile range
Remember that a sample is a selection of members drawn from the population, whereas the population is all the members
Statistics calculated from a sample will usually not be exactly the same as the statistics for the whole population (different mean, etc.)
Statistics calculated from two different samples will also not usually be the same
As long as the sample is representative of the population
then you can assume that the statistics for the population are approximately the same as those for the sample
e.g. assume the population mean is about equal to the sample mean
This can be used to make predictions about the population
About half (50%) of the population will be above the sample median
and about half will be below
About a quarter (25%) of the population will be below the sample lower quartile
and about a quarter will be above the sample upper quartile
About half (50%) of the population will be between the sample upper and lower quartiles
Sample size has an impact on the reliability of estimates made about the population
In general a larger sample size will lead to more reliable conclusions
Examiner Tips and Tricks
If a question asks you about improving the reliability of estimates made from samples
the answer will almost always have to do with increasing the sample size
Worked Example
Paul has been studying a population of rabbits in Lopital Woods. He captured a sample of 50 rabbits and weighed each of the rabbits before releasing them again. He records the following data for his sample:
total weight of rabbits: 82.5 kg
lower quartile: 1.2 kg
median: 1.6 kg
upper quartile: 2.1 kg
(a) Calculate an estimate for the mean weight of the population of rabbits in Lopital Woods.
Assume that the population mean is the same as the sample mean
Calculate the sample mean by dividing the total weight by the number in the sample (50)
1.65 kg
It is assumed that there are a total of 600 rabbits living in Lopital Woods.
(b) Use Paul's data to estimate how many rabbits in Lopital Woods weigh between 1.2 kg and 2.1 kg.
Those values are the lower and upper quartiles of the data set
Half of the data values fall between the lower and upper quartiles
Assume the same is true for the population as a whole
Approximately 300 rabbits
(c) Suggest a way that the reliability of Paul's results could be improved.
Use a larger sample of rabbits to calculate the statistics from
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