The Random Nature of Decay (Edexcel GCSE Physics)
Revision Note
The Random Nature of Decay
It cannot be predicted when a particular unstable nucleus will decay
Radioactive decay is a random process, this means that:
There is an equal probability of any nucleus decaying
It cannot be known which particular nucleus will decay next
It cannot be known at what time a particular nucleus will decay
The rate of decay is unaffected by the surrounding conditions
It is only possible to estimate the probability of a certain nucleus decaying in a given time period
This is done by the half-life which enables the activity of a very large number of nuclei to be predicted during the decay process
During one half-life a particular nucleus will have a 50% chance of decaying
This means that, on average, 50% of nuclei will decay during one half-life
As a result, the number of nuclei remaining after each successive half-life will on average halve
However, even after a large number of half-lives, there is still a small probability that a particular nucleus will not have decayed
As a result, the number of nuclei remaining will never quite fall to zero
A researcher might take some readings of background radiation
If the researcher reset the counter to zero, waited one minute and then took the count reading and repeated the procedure, they might obtain results such as:
32 11 25 16 28
The readings don’t appear to follow a particular trend
This happens because of the randomness of radioactive decay
Dice Analogy
An analogy is a way of understanding an idea by using a different but similar situation
Rolling dice is a good analogy of radioactive decay because it is similar to the random nature of radioactive decay
A dice roll is a random process because you don’t know when you will roll a particular value. However, you can determine the probability of a particular result
Imagine someone rolling a dice and trying to get a ‘6’
Each time they roll, they do not know what the result will be
But they know there is a 1/6 probability that it will be a 6
If they were to roll the dice 1000 times, it would be very likely that they would roll a 6 at least once
The random nature of radioactive decay can be demonstrated by observing the count rate of a Geiger-Muller (GM) tube
When a GM tube is placed near a radioactive source, the counts are found to be irregular and cannot be predicted
Each count represents a decay of an unstable nucleus
These fluctuations in count rate on the GM tube provide evidence for the randomness of radioactive decay
The variation of count rate over time of a sample radioactive gas. The fluctuations show the randomness of radioactive decay
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