Exponential Growth & Decay (Edexcel GCSE Maths)

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Jamie Wood

Written by: Jamie Wood

Reviewed by: Dan Finlay

Exponential Growth & Decay

The ideas of compound interest and depreciation can be applied to other (non-money) situations, such as increasing or decreasing populations.

What is exponential growth?

  • When a quantity grows exponentially it is increasing from an original amount by a percentage each year for n years

    • Some questions use a different timescale, such as each day, or each minute

  • Real-life examples of exponential growth include:

    • Population increases

    • Bacterial growth

    • The number of people infected by a virus

What is exponential decay?

  • When a quantity exponentially decays it is decreasing from an original amount by a percentage each year for n years

    • Some questions use a different timescale, such as each day, or each minute

  • Real-life examples of exponential decay include:

    • The temperature of hot water cooling down

    • The value of a car decreasing over time

    • Radioactive decay (the mass of a radioactive a substance over time)

How can I model a scenario as exponential growth or decay?

  • Scenarios which exponentially grow or decay can be modelled with an equation

  • A useful format for this equation is

    • B equals A cross times k to the power of n where:

      • A is the starting (initial) amount

      • B is the new amount

      • k is the appropriate multiplier or scale factor for the growth or decay in the time period

        • E.g. k equals 0.8 for a 20% decay, k equals 1.2 for a 20% growth

      • n is the number of time periods

    • Note if k greater than 1 then it is exponential growth

      • If 0 less than k less than 1 then it is exponential decay

      • k cannot be negative

How do I use the exponential growth & decay equation?

  • You may need to rearrange the equation B equals A cross times k to the power of n

    • To find A giving A equals B over k to the power of n

    • To find k giving k to the power of n equals B over A so k equals n-th root of B over A end root

    • To find n, using trial and improvement

      • Test different whole-number values for n until both sides of the equation balance

How does exponential growth and decay relate to exponential graphs?

  • Plotting the exponential model B equals A cross times k to the power of n on a graph where:

    • n is on the x-axis

    • and B is on the y-axis

    • gives the shape of an exponential graph

      • often written as y equals a k to the power of x

Examiner Tips and Tricks

  • Look out for how the question wants you to give your final answer

    • It may want the final amount to the nearest thousand

    • Or the question may require you to round to the nearest integer for n

Worked Example

An island has a population of 25 000 people.

The population increases exponentially by 4% every year.

Find the population after 13 years, giving your answer to the nearest hundred.

The question says “increases exponentially” so use B equals A cross times k to the power of n where k greater than 1

k comes from a percentage increase so add 0.04 to 1

k equals 1 plus 0.04

Substitute A = 25 000, k = 1.04 and n = 13 into the formula

25 space 000 cross times 1.04 to the power of 13 

Work out the value on your calculator

41626.83…

Round to the nearest hundred

41 600 people

Worked Example

The temperature of a cup of coffee exponentially decays from 60°C by r% each hour. After 3 hours, the temperature is 18°C.

Find the value of r to 3 significant figures.

The question says “exponentially decays” so use  B equals A cross times k to the power of n where 0 less than k less than 1
Note that k is the multiplier (it is not equal to r in the question, but is related)
Substitute A = 60 and n = 3 into the equation

60 cross times k cubed

The temperature after 3 hours is 18, so set the whole equation equal to 18

60 cross times k cubed equals 18

Solve this equation for k
Start by dividing both sides by 60

k cubed equals 0.3

The left hand side is to the power of 3 (cubed)
So cube-root both sides and write out lots of decimal places

k equals cube root of 0.3 end root equals 0.669432950...

Find the percentage decrease represented by this number
It may help to think of an example, e.g. k = 0.6 represents a decrease of 40%

1 minus 0.669432950... equals 0.3305670499...

It represents a decrease by 33.05670...%
Round to 3 significant figures

r = 33.1

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Jamie Wood

Author: Jamie Wood

Expertise: Maths

Jamie graduated in 2014 from the University of Bristol with a degree in Electronic and Communications Engineering. He has worked as a teacher for 8 years, in secondary schools and in further education; teaching GCSE and A Level. He is passionate about helping students fulfil their potential through easy-to-use resources and high-quality questions and solutions.

Dan Finlay

Author: Dan Finlay

Expertise: Maths Lead

Dan graduated from the University of Oxford with a First class degree in mathematics. As well as teaching maths for over 8 years, Dan has marked a range of exams for Edexcel, tutored students and taught A Level Accounting. Dan has a keen interest in statistics and probability and their real-life applications.