Demand for Oil (Edexcel GCSE Geography B)

Revision Note

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Bridgette Barrett

Written by: Bridgette Barrett

Reviewed by: Jenna Quinn

Distribution of Oil Reserves

  • Although every country in the world uses oil, the reserves of oil are unevenly distributed around the world

  • The figures for oil reserves are estimates as exactly how much oil is located underground is unknown

    • The amount of oil is finite - at some point it will run out

    • The estimates of oil reserves change as the technology to find and access oil improves

    • In 2016 the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) estimated 20 billion barrels of accessible oil was in the Wolfcamp Basin, Texas. In 2018 this estimate was changed to 46.3 billion barrels

  • Oil production is also unevenly distributed 

World map showing CO2 emissions by country in varying shades from light to dark, with a colour key indicating emission levels from 0 to 100 billion tonnes.
Global distribution of proven oil reserves
World map showing electricity consumption by country in terawatt-hours; darker shades indicate higher consumption, with a key provided for data interpretation.
Global oil production 2021

Causes of Increasing Oil Consumption

  • Oil consumption is increasing around the world 

    • China and other emerging countries are experiencing the largest increase in consumption

  • The increase in consumption is due to:

    • Increasing world population increases energy demands

    • As countries become wealthier the demand for products increases and people have more things which use energy

    • Increasing amounts of technology which use energy 

Stacked area chart showing global electricity consumption in terawatt hours from 1965 to 2021 by region, including Asia Pacific and North America.
Oil consumption by world region

Factors Affecting Oil Supply & Prices

The world oil price fluctuates and is dependent on a range of factors including:

  • Conflicts

    • The invasion of Ukraine by Russia led to oil prices soaring due to concerns about global supply

  • Diplomatic relations

    • In 2010 Venezuelan President Chavez threatened to stop oil sales to the USA

  • Recession/boom

    • In 2008 the financial crisis and recession led oil prices to fall steeply

    • Before 2008 economic growth led to a steep rise in oil prices

  • Over/under supply

    • In 2013-14 a rivalry between Saudi Arabia and Iran led Saudi Arabia to increase the supply of oil which caused the price to fall

    • A decrease in supply leads to an increase in price such as in the period following the Iranian Revolution in 1979

  • Customer preferences

    • Customers may prefer alternative/renewable energy sources and this can cause a fall in demand which then leads to a fall in oil prices 

Line graph showing oil price trends from 1972 to 2021, highlighting events like the Arab Spring, World Financial Crisis, and conflicts affecting prices.
Factors affecting global oil prices

Worked Example

Study figure 1

screenshot-2023-02-08-at-09-58-52

Explain two reasons for lower fossil fuel prices in some years

(4 marks)

Answer 

  • Prices in Figure suggests falls could be triggered by peaks (1) showing commodity prices can rise / fall in cycles (1)

  • Consumers may seek out / be attracted to alternative energy sources (1) so oil producers lower prices to lure them back (1)

  • Prices fall in 2012 might be because supply increased (1) for instance due to political decisions by oil producers to increase output (1)

  • Prices fall in 2008 might be because demand fell (1) which may be linked to world events / happened in the global financial crisis (1)

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Bridgette Barrett

Author: Bridgette Barrett

Expertise: Geography Lead

After graduating with a degree in Geography, Bridgette completed a PGCE over 25 years ago. She later gained an MA Learning, Technology and Education from the University of Nottingham focussing on online learning. At a time when the study of geography has never been more important, Bridgette is passionate about creating content which supports students in achieving their potential in geography and builds their confidence.

Jenna Quinn

Author: Jenna Quinn

Expertise: Head of New Subjects

Jenna studied at Cardiff University before training to become a science teacher at the University of Bath specialising in Biology (although she loves teaching all three sciences at GCSE level!). Teaching is her passion, and with 10 years experience teaching across a wide range of specifications – from GCSE and A Level Biology in the UK to IGCSE and IB Biology internationally – she knows what is required to pass those Biology exams.