AQA Geography Pre-release Materials 2024: Introduction UK Housing Challenge (AQA GCSE Geography)

Revision Note

Bridgette Barrett

Written by: Bridgette Barrett

Reviewed by: Jenna Quinn

Pre-release materials 2024: Introduction

  • The AQA pre-release materials are now available and with schools

  • AQA copyright and exam regulations mean that the resources themselves cannot be shared online - you will receive or may already have received the booklet from your teacher at school

  • The issue evaluation is synoptic, which means that it covers more than one topic from the specification

  • The topics covered in the 2024 issue evaluation are:

pre-release-2024-synoptic-issues

Areas of the specification covered in the issues evaluation

  • The materials below will provide all the background information on the issue, and key exam tips needed to tackle the questions in the 2024 Geography Paper 3 successfully

  • The materials will support you to:

    • Set the issue in context, including where it is and the key facts about the location

    • Examine conflicting stakeholder viewpoints about the issue 

    • Make an appraisal of the advantages and disadvantages

    • Evaluate alternatives

  • In the exam, you will need to answer a range of questions about the proposal of a new garden settlement in Kent. You will have about 35-40 minutes for this section of the exam

    • There will be a series of short, skills questions (2-3 marks), followed by 6-mark extended questions and then a final 9-mark question which asks you to decide on the issue

    • You will be asked whether you agree or disagree with a statement and then you will be expected to explain your answer. It does not matter whether you agree or disagree, what matters is how you justify your answer using evidence from the materials in the resource booklet and your knowledge

The issue evaluation skills guide is also here to help you work out how to interpret and use the sources that you have available in the booklet

Urban Change

  • Towns and cities expand through a process known as suburbanisation which leads to urban sprawl at the urban fringe

The urban fringe

  • Cities and towns have grown outward, from a historic centre to the urban fringe

  • The urban fringe is where green, open spaces meet the built-up areas of towns and cities

  • It is where:

    • Housing is clustered into estates

    • The countryside is eroded through urban spread/sprawl 

    • Some industrial land use can be found

    • Access by road is easier than in the city centre

Urban sprawl

  • Issues caused by urban sprawl include:

    • Loss of farmland to build new homes

    • Impact on ecosystems: removal of trees, drainage of wetlands, destruction of habitats

    • Loss of rural way of life and character of the countryside

    • Loss of traditional 'green spaces': School fields, parks, etc are being built on

    • Creation of impermeable surfaces and surface run-off

    • Higher emissions due to car dependency (people have to commute further and there is increased traffic)

    • Higher costs for public transport and social facilities (local governments have to spread out their budgets further), which further impacts health care, fire and policing facilities

  • Over 3 500 km² of rural land has been converted to urban land use over the past 25 years in the UK. This is an estimated 4 000 hectares each year

  • Some urban areas have a planned and protected Green Belt on which no development is restricted, but urban areas still need to grow 

  • Development in many major cities has jumped over the Green Belt and commuter settlements have formed

  • The south-east of England in particular Kent, Sussex and Essex, have many commuter villages that are on or near major train lines into London and elsewhere

  • These villages have seen the growth of families moving out of London into newly built large-family housing but they are too expensive for families already living in the area

Worked Example

Define the term urban sprawl

[2 Marks]

Answer:

  • The development of areas in the urban-rural fringe or on the edge of towns and cities (1), which leads to the loss of rural areas (1)

Examiner Tips and Tricks

Create a glossary of terms that are mentioned in the pre-release materials. This will ensure that you are confident about what those terms mean when writing about them in the exam. Terms you could include in your glossary are:

  • Urban-rural fringe

  • Urban sprawl

  • Greenfield site

  • Brownfield site

  • Greenbelt

  • Surburbanisation

  • Unsuitable housing

  • Garden settlement

  • Area of Outstanding Natural Beauty (AONB)

  • Commuter settlement

Greenfield & Brownfield Sites

  • To meet the increased demand for housing, there are two options for places to build

    • Greenfield sites

    • Brownfield sites

  • With all land uses, there are arguments for and against each type of site

  • The Campaign for the Protection of Rural England (CPRE) argue that building on brownfield sites would provide 1.3 million new homes

  • There are insufficient brownfield sites to provide all the housing needs

  • Building on some greenfield sites is necessary in the UK if the demand for housing is to be met

The Pros and Cons of Brownfield and Greenfield Site Developments

Type of site

Advantages

Disadvantages

Brownfield

It helps regenerate old and disused urban areas

Reduces the loss of countryside for agricultural or recreational use

Services such as water, electricity, and sewage, are already in place

Located near the main areas of employment

Brings in economic and social benefits to old urban areas 

It is often more expensive because old buildings must be cleared, and land made free of pollution

Often surrounded by deprived areas, it may not appeal to wealthy people

Higher levels of pollution

Greenfield

Healthier environment

Close to the countryside, leisure, and recreation

The existing layout does not restrict the positioning of new buildings

It is relatively cheap and the rate of house building is faster

Access and infrastructure are easier to build

Valuable farmland lost

Encourages further urban sprawl

Wildlife and habitats lost or disturbed

Recreational space and attractive scenery are lost

Lacks access to public transport

Development causes noise and light pollution in the surrounding countryside

Cost of installing services such as water, electricity, sewage, etc.

Worked Example

Explain two advantages of building on greenfield sites

[4 Marks]

Answer:

  • One possible answer to this question is:

    • There is no existing layout of services or buildings (1), which means the design of the new settlement is not restricted. (1) The environment around the site is close to rural areas (1), which means people have more access to leisure and recreation. (1)

Examiner Tips and Tricks

The proposed settlement in the pre-release resources is to be built on a greenfield site. You need to think about what the advantages and disadvantages of this might be.

It is also important to think about why some people and organisations, such as the Campaign for the Protection of Rural England (CPRE), argue that building on brownfield sites is more sustainable.

Housing Challenge in the UK

Why is there a housing shortage in the UK?

  • The population of the UK has reached over 67 million

    • In 2022, there were 28.2 million households in the UK; this is an increase of 6.1% (1.6 million) from 2012

  • This population is unevenly distributed

  • The highest population densities are in the southeast

  • As well as an increasing population, the proportion of single-person households has grown

  • This has led to a shortage of housing in the UK, particularly in London and the southeast

  • It is estimated that 8 million people are affected by the UK housing crisis

What is the supply of housing in the UK?

  • The UK government has set a target of building 300,000 houses a year 

  • The National Housing Federation (NHF) estimates that 340,000 houses per year are needed to meet the demand

    • Of these, 145,000 should be affordable housing 

  • The new housing supply in 2019/20 was 243 000 

  • This has decreased significantly since the peak of new house building in 1966, when 350 000 new houses were built

housing-demand-and-supply-in-the-uk

Demand and supply of housing in the UK

  • Increasingly, planning permission is being given to build on the urban fringe of towns and cities 

  • Homes have also been built on the opposite side of the Green Belt, creating commuter towns and villages

Worked Example

Using the information above

What was the difference between the number of houses needed to meet the demand and the actual supply of houses in 2023?

[1 Mark]

 A

97 000

57 000

C

107 000

D

40 000

Answer:

  • A: 97 000 

    • The supply of housing in 2023 was 243 000

    • The estimated demand was 340 000

    • 340 000 - 243 000 = 97 000

  • The alternative answers were incorrect because:

    • B is based on the government target of 300 000 not the estimated demand

    • C was an incorrect calculation

    • D was the difference between the estimated demand and the government target

Examiner Tips and Tricks

In the exam, you may be asked to interpret graphs. It is important to remember the following points:

  • What is the title of the graph?

  • What information is given as the key?

  • Look at the titles on the axes. What information do they provide?

  • What is the trend of the graph?

    • Increasing 

    • Decreasing

    • Fluctuating 

  • What are the highest and lowest results shown?

  • When did they occur (if there are dates)?

  • Are there any anomalies?

  • When did they occur, and how different are they?

Unsuitable housing in the UK

  • In addition to a shortage of housing, many people live in unsuitable housing

    • Shelter, the homeless charity, estimates that 3 in 10 people live in unsuitable housing

    • Unsuitable accommodation includes housing, which is:

      • Overcrowded 

      • Unaffordable 

      • Substandard

    • Overcrowding is the main issue

      • Over 3.7 million people in the UK are affected by living in overcrowded accommodation

  • Unsuitable housing leads to:

    • Ill-health

    • Disruption to children’s education

    • Homelessness

    • Unsafe conditions

House prices in the UK

Average House Price to Earnings Ratio (2022)

Region

Average house price

Average earnings

House price-to-earnings ratio

London

£534,977

£55,234

9.7 

South East

£385,790

£41,377

9.3 

East of England

£330,883

£38,739

8.5 

South West

£298,162

£35,598

8.4 

East Midlands

£234,083

£34,238

6.8 

Wales

£211,942

£32,467

6.5

West Midlands

£238,647

£36,627

6.5

North West

£214,591

£35,058

6.1

Yorkshire & Humber

£194,639

£36,285

5.4

Northern Ireland

£177,265

£34,565

5.1

Scotland

£194,621

£38,070

5.1

North East

£162,692

£35,134

4.6

Source: Halifax

  • London and the South East regions have the least affordable housing

  • Average house prices are more than nine times the average salary

    • Mortgage lenders will usually lend borrowers 4.5 times their salary 

  • In 2024, an Office for National Statistics (ONS) survey reported that an estimated 35% of people paying a mortgage or rent in the UK were struggling to afford their payments

  • The high cost of housing means that more affordable homes need to be built

  • Affordable housing has no agreed definition but generally refers to housing which is for sale or rent at

'what is considered an affordable price in the local area'

National Housing Federation

  • The government defines affordable homes as those which cost 80% of the average market value in the area

Supply of affordable housing

  • The National Housing Federation (NHF) estimates that 145,000 affordable homes need to be built each year

    • The current supply of affordable housing is 58 000

affordable-housing-supply-in-the-uk

Supply of new affordable housing 

Worked Example

Suggest two causes of the housing crisis in the UK

[4 Marks]

Answer:

  • The UK has an increasing population (1), this means that the demand for housing is high, but this is not being met by the number of houses being built (1). An increasing proportion of housing is unsuitable, (1) this means that it is overcrowded or unaffordable, which can lead to increased homelessness. (1)

Examiner Tips and Tricks

It is important to recognise that the housing crisis in the UK is not simply about the number of houses being built. Unsuitable housing means that people are either living in poor conditions, which can damage their health, or they cannot afford the homes they are in and may potentially be made homeless.

With questions about the housing crisis, make sure that you consider all causes, not just the gap between demand and supply.

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Bridgette Barrett

Author: Bridgette Barrett

Expertise: Geography Lead

After graduating with a degree in Geography, Bridgette completed a PGCE over 25 years ago. She later gained an MA Learning, Technology and Education from the University of Nottingham focussing on online learning. At a time when the study of geography has never been more important, Bridgette is passionate about creating content which supports students in achieving their potential in geography and builds their confidence.

Jenna Quinn

Author: Jenna Quinn

Expertise: Head of New Subjects

Jenna studied at Cardiff University before training to become a science teacher at the University of Bath specialising in Biology (although she loves teaching all three sciences at GCSE level!). Teaching is her passion, and with 10 years experience teaching across a wide range of specifications – from GCSE and A Level Biology in the UK to IGCSE and IB Biology internationally – she knows what is required to pass those Biology exams.