Hypothesis Testing for Population Parameters (DP IB Applications & Interpretation (AI))

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  • If you are testing the mean of a normal population, when do you use the normal distribution (z-test)?

    If you are testing the mean of a normal population, you use the normal distribution (z-test) if the population variance, sigma squared, is known.

  • If you are testing the mean of a normal population, when do you use the t-distribution (t-test)?

    If you are testing the mean of a normal population, you use the t-distribution (t-test) if the population variance, sigma squared, is unknown.

  • Using symbols, what does the alternative hypothesis look like for a two-tailed test for the population mean of a normal distribution?

    The alternative hypothesis for a two-tailed test for the population mean of a normal distribution looks like straight H subscript 1 space colon thin space mu not equal to mu subscript 0 , where mu subscript 0 is the assumed mean.

  • True or False?

    If straight H subscript 0 space colon space mu equals mu subscript 0 and straight H subscript 1 space colon space mu greater than mu subscript 0 are used to test the mean of a normal distribution with variance sigma squared, then the p-value for a sample mean x with bar on top taken from a sample of n observations is straight P open parentheses X with bar on top greater than x with bar on top close parentheses, where X with bar on top tilde straight N open parentheses mu subscript 0 comma sigma squared over n close parentheses.

    True.

    If straight H subscript 0 space colon space mu equals mu subscript 0 and straight H subscript 1 space colon space mu greater than mu subscript 0 are used to test the mean of a normal distribution with variance sigma squared, then the p-value for a sample mean x with bar on top taken from a sample of n observations is straight P open parentheses X with bar on top greater than x with bar on top close parentheses, where X with bar on top tilde straight N open parentheses mu subscript 0 comma sigma squared over n close parentheses.

  • The hypotheses, straight H subscript 0 space colon thin space mu equals 5 and straight H subscript 1 space colon space mu not equal to 5, are used to test the mean of a normal distribution with variance 3 squared.

    A sample of 100 observations is taken and the sample mean is 4.

    How would you find the p-value?

    The hypotheses, straight H subscript 0 space colon thin space mu equals 5 and straight H subscript 1 space colon space mu not equal to 5, are used to test the mean of a normal distribution with variance 3 squared.

    A sample of 100 observations is taken and the sample mean is 4.

    The p-value is equal to 2 cross times straight P open parentheses X with bar on top less than 4 close parentheses, where X with bar on top tilde straight N open parentheses 5 comma 3 squared over 100 close parentheses.

    The probability is doubled as it is a two-tailed test.

  • The hypotheses, straight H subscript 0 space colon thin space mu equals 5 and straight H subscript 1 space colon space mu less than 5, are used to test the mean of a normal distribution with variance 3 squared.

    A sample of 100 observations is taken and the sample mean is calculated.

    How would you find the critical region if the significance level is 5%?

    The hypotheses, straight H subscript 0 space colon thin space mu equals 5 and straight H subscript 1 space colon space mu less than 5, are used to test the mean of a normal distribution with variance 3 squared.

    A sample of 100 observations is taken and the sample mean is calculated.

    The critical region is X with bar on top less than c where c is found using the inverse normal distribution with straight P open parentheses X with bar on top less than c close parentheses equals 0.05, where X with bar on top tilde straight N open parentheses 5 comma 3 squared over 100 close parentheses.

  • The hypotheses, straight H subscript 0 space colon thin space mu equals mu subscript 0 and straight H subscript 1 space colon space mu not equal to mu subscript 0, are used to test the mean of a normal distribution with variance sigma squared.

    A sample of n observations is taken and the sample mean is calculated.

    The critical regions for a 5% level of significance are X with bar on top less than 4 and X with bar on top greater than 6.

    What is the value of straight P open parentheses X with bar on top less than 4 close parentheses, where X with bar on top tilde straight N open parentheses mu subscript 0 comma sigma squared over n close parentheses?

    The hypotheses, straight H subscript 0 space colon thin space mu equals mu subscript 0 and straight H subscript 1 space colon space mu not equal to mu subscript 0, are used to test the mean of a normal distribution with variance sigma squared.

    A sample of n observations is taken and the sample mean is calculated.

    The critical regions for a 5% level of significance are X with bar on top less than 4 and X with bar on top greater than 6.

    straight P open parentheses X with bar on top less than 4 close parentheses equals fraction numerator 0.05 over denominator 2 end fraction equals 0.025, where X with bar on top tilde straight N open parentheses mu subscript 0 comma sigma squared over n close parentheses.

  • straight H subscript 0 space colon space mu equals mu subscript 0
straight H subscript 1 space colon space mu not equal to mu subscript 0

    What would the conclusion be if the null hypothesis is not rejected?

    straight H subscript 0 space colon space mu equals mu subscript 0
straight H subscript 1 space colon space mu not equal to mu subscript 0

    If the null hypothesis is not rejected then there is insufficient evidence to suggest that the mean is different to mu subscript 0.

  • straight H subscript 0 space colon space mu equals mu subscript 0
straight H subscript 1 space colon space mu not equal to mu subscript 0

    What would the conclusion be if the null hypothesis is rejected?

    straight H subscript 0 space colon space mu equals mu subscript 0
straight H subscript 1 space colon space mu not equal to mu subscript 0

    If the null hypothesis is rejected then there is sufficient evidence to suggest that the mean is different to mu subscript 0.

  • If you are testing the difference between the means of two normal populations, when do you use the normal distribution (z-test)?

    If you are testing the difference between the means of two normal populations, you use the normal distribution (z-test) if the population variance, sigma squared, is known.

  • If you are testing the difference between the means of two normal populations, when do you use the t-distribution (t-test)?

    If you are testing the difference between the means of two normal populations, you use the t-distribution (t-test) if the population variance, sigma squared, is unknown.

  • What two assumptions are made when conducting a (pooled two-sample) t-test?

    When conducting a (pooled two-sample) t-test you need to assume that:

    • the underlying distribution for each variable must be normal,

    • the variances for the two groups are equal.

  • When would you use a one-tailed test to compare the difference between the means of two normal distributions?

    You would use a one-tailed test to compare the difference between the means of two normal distributions when you want to test one of two following hypotheses:

    1. The population mean of one normal distribution is greater than the population mean of another normal distribution.

    2. The population mean of one normal distribution is smaller than the population mean of another normal distribution.

  • When would you use a two-tailed test to compare the difference between the means of two normal distributions?

    You would use a two-tailed test to compare the difference between the means of two normal distributions when you want to test whether the population means of two normal distributions are not equal.

  • In an exam, how do you calculate the p-value for a two-sample t-test?

    In an exam, to calculate the p-value for a two-sample t-test you:

    • input the data from the sample of the first population in one list on your GDC,

    • input the data from the sample of the second population in another list on your GDC,

    • select the pooled two-sample t-test option,

    • choose the form of the alternative hypothesis,

    • run the test.

  • Using symbols, what does the alternative hypothesis look like for a two-tailed test for the difference between the means of two normal distributions?

    The alternative hypothesis for a two-tailed test for the difference between the means of two normal distributions looks like straight H subscript 1 colon space mu subscript X not equal to space mu subscript Y.

  • straight H subscript 0 space colon space mu subscript X equals mu subscript Y
straight H subscript 1 space colon space mu subscript X less than mu subscript Y

    What would the conclusion be if the null hypothesis is not rejected?

    straight H subscript 0 space colon space mu subscript X equals mu subscript Y
straight H subscript 1 space colon space mu subscript X less than mu subscript Y

    If the null hypothesis is not rejected then there is insufficient evidence to suggest that the mean of population Y is greater than the mean of population X.

  • straight H subscript 0 space colon space mu subscript X equals mu subscript Y
straight H subscript 1 space colon space mu subscript X less than mu subscript Y

    What would the conclusion be if the null hypothesis is rejected?

    straight H subscript 0 space colon space mu subscript X equals mu subscript Y
straight H subscript 1 space colon space mu subscript X less than mu subscript Y

    If the null hypothesis is rejected then there is sufficient evidence to suggest that the mean of population Y is greater than the mean of population X.

  • True or False?

    If the p-value of a two-tailed t-test is greater than the significance level, then the means of two normal populations are equal.

    False.

    If the p-value of a two-tailed t-test is greater than the significance level then the test concludes that there is insufficient evidence to say that the means are different.

    This does not guarantee that the means are equal.

  • True or False?

    A paired t-test can be thought of as a one-sample t-test.

    True.

    A paired t-test can be thought of as a one-sample t-test.

  • When should you use a paired t-test?

    You should use a paired t-test when you have two sets of data from the same sample and you are testing the difference in the values.

    For example, you might be comparing the test scores of a class before and after revision.

  • The hypotheses straight H subscript 0 colon space p equals p subscript 0 and straight H subscript 1 space colon space p less than p subscript 0 are used to test the proportion using a binomial distribution.

    A random sample of n observations is taken and the number of successes, x, is recorded.

    How do you calculate the p-value?

    The hypotheses straight H subscript 0 colon space p equals p subscript 0 and straight H subscript 1 space colon space p less than p subscript 0 are used to test the proportion using a binomial distribution.

    A random sample of n observations is taken and the number of successes, x, is recorded.

    The p-value is straight P open parentheses X less or equal than x close parentheses, where X tilde straight B open parentheses n comma space p subscript 0 close parentheses.

  • True or False?

    The hypotheses straight H subscript 0 colon space p equals p subscript 0 and straight H subscript 1 space colon space p greater than p subscript 0 are used to test the proportion using a binomial distribution.

    A random sample of n observations is taken and the number of successes, x, is recorded.

    The p-value is straight P open parentheses X greater than x close parentheses, where X tilde straight B open parentheses n comma space p subscript 0 close parentheses.

    False.

    The hypotheses straight H subscript 0 colon space p equals p subscript 0 and straight H subscript 1 space colon space p greater than p subscript 0 are used to test the proportion using a binomial distribution.

    A random sample of n observations is taken and the number of successes, x, is recorded.

    The p-value is straight P open parentheses X greater or equal than x close parentheses, where X tilde straight B open parentheses n comma space p subscript 0 close parentheses.

    You need to remember to include the value x in the inequality.

  • The hypotheses straight H subscript 0 colon space p equals p subscript 0 and straight H subscript 1 space colon space p greater than p subscript 0 are used to test the proportion using a binomial distribution.

    A random sample of n observations is taken and the number of successes, x, is recorded.

    How do you find the critical region when a 5% level of significance is used?

    The hypotheses straight H subscript 0 colon space p equals p subscript 0 and straight H subscript 1 space colon space p greater than p subscript 0 are used to test the proportion using a binomial distribution.

    To find the critical region when a 5% level of significance is used, you find the smallest value c such that straight P open parentheses X greater or equal than c close parentheses less or equal than 0.05, where X tilde straight B open parentheses n comma space p subscript 0 close parentheses.

    This means straight P open parentheses X greater or equal than c minus 1 close parentheses greater than 0.05, where X tilde straight B open parentheses n comma space p subscript 0 close parentheses.

  • True or False?

    The hypotheses straight H subscript 0 colon space p equals p subscript 0 and straight H subscript 1 space colon space p less than p subscript 0 are used to test the proportion using a binomial distribution.

    A random sample of n observations is taken and the number of successes, x, is recorded.

    The critical value is the smallest value, c, such that straight P open parentheses X less or equal than c close parentheses, where X tilde straight B open parentheses n comma space p subscript 0 close parentheses, is less than the significance level.

    False.

    The hypotheses straight H subscript 0 colon space p equals p subscript 0 and straight H subscript 1 space colon space p less than p subscript 0 are used to test the proportion using a binomial distribution.

    A random sample of n observations is taken and the number of successes, x, is recorded.

    The critical value is the largest value, c, such that straight P open parentheses X less or equal than c close parentheses, where X tilde straight B open parentheses n comma space p subscript 0 close parentheses, is less than the significance level.

  • The probability that a coin lands on tails is p.

    What would the hypotheses be if you wanted to test whether the coin is fair?

    The probability that a coin lands on tails is p.

    If you wanted to test whether the coin is fair you could use the hypotheses straight H subscript 0 space colon space p equals 1 half and straight H subscript 1 space colon space p not equal to 1 half.

  • The hypotheses straight H subscript 0 colon space m equals m subscript 0 and straight H subscript 1 colon space m greater than m subscript 0 are used to test the mean using a Poisson distribution.

    A random interval is observed and the number of occurrences, x, is recorded.

    How do you calculate the p-value?

    The hypotheses straight H subscript 0 colon space m equals m subscript 0 and straight H subscript 1 space colon space m greater than m subscript 0 are used to test the mean using a Poisson distribution.

    A random interval is observed and the number of occurrences, x, is recorded.

    The p-value is straight P open parentheses X greater or equal than x close parentheses, where X tilde Po open parentheses m subscript 0 close parentheses.

  • True or False?

    The hypotheses straight H subscript 0 colon space m equals m subscript 0 and straight H subscript 1 colon space m less than m subscript 0 are used to test the mean using a Poisson distribution.

    A random interval is observed and the number of occurrences, x, is recorded.

    The p-value is straight P open parentheses X less or equal than x close parentheses, where X tilde Po open parentheses m subscript 0 close parentheses.

    True.

    The hypotheses straight H subscript 0 colon space m equals m subscript 0 and straight H subscript 1 colon space m less than m subscript 0 are used to test the mean using a Poisson distribution.

    A random interval is observed and the number of occurrences, x, is recorded.

    The p-value is straight P open parentheses X less or equal than x close parentheses, where X tilde Po open parentheses m subscript 0 close parentheses.

  • The hypotheses straight H subscript 0 colon space m equals m subscript 0 and straight H subscript 1 colon space m less than m subscript 0 are used to test the mean using a Poisson distribution.

    A random interval is observed and the number of occurrences, x, is recorded.

    How do you find the critical region when a 1% level of significance is used?

    The hypotheses straight H subscript 0 colon space m equals m subscript 0 and straight H subscript 1 colon space m less than m subscript 0 are used to test the mean using a Poisson distribution.

    To find the critical region when a 1% level of significance is used, you find the largest value c such that straight P open parentheses X less or equal than c close parentheses less or equal than 0.01, where X tilde Po open parentheses m subscript 0 close parentheses.

    This means straight P open parentheses X less or equal than c plus 1 close parentheses greater than 0.01, where X tilde Po open parentheses m subscript 0 close parentheses.

  • True or False?

    The hypotheses straight H subscript 0 colon space m equals m subscript 0 and straight H subscript 1 colon space m greater than m subscript 0 are used to test the mean using a Poisson distribution.

    A random interval is observed and the number of occurrences, x, is recorded.

    The critical value is the smallest value, c, such that straight P open parentheses X greater or equal than c close parentheses, where X tilde Po open parentheses m subscript 0 close parentheses is greater than the significance level.

    False.

    The hypotheses straight H subscript 0 colon space m equals m subscript 0 and straight H subscript 1 colon space m greater than m subscript 0 are used to test the mean using a Poisson distribution.

    A random interval is observed and the number of occurrences, x, is recorded.

    The critical value is the smallest value, c, such that straight P open parentheses X greater or equal than c close parentheses, where X tilde Po open parentheses m subscript 0 close parentheses is less than the significance level.

  • The mean of X tilde Po open parentheses m close parentheses is being tested using the hypotheses straight H subscript 0 colon space m equals 2.5 and straight H subscript 1 colon thin space m greater than 2.5 at a 5% level of significance.

    What is the critical value if straight P open parentheses X greater or equal than 6 close parentheses equals 0.04202 and straight P open parentheses X greater or equal than 5 close parentheses equals 0.10882, where X tilde Po open parentheses 2.5 close parentheses?

    The mean of X tilde Po open parentheses m close parentheses is being tested using the hypotheses straight H subscript 0 colon space m equals 2.5 and straight H subscript 1 colon thin space m greater than 2.5 at a 5% level of significance.

    If straight P open parentheses X greater or equal than 6 close parentheses equals 0.04202 and straight P open parentheses X greater or equal than 5 close parentheses equals 0.10882, where X tilde Po open parentheses 2.5 close parentheses, the critical value is 6.

  • The mean of X tilde Po open parentheses m close parentheses is being tested using the hypotheses straight H subscript 0 colon space m equals 17 and straight H subscript 1 colon thin space m less than 17 at a 5% level of significance.

    Given that straight P open parentheses X less or equal than 9 close parentheses equals 0.02612, where X tilde Po open parentheses 17 close parentheses, which probability should you check next if you are trying to find the critical region?

    The mean of X tilde Po open parentheses m close parentheses is being tested using the hypotheses straight H subscript 0 colon space m equals 17 and straight H subscript 1 colon thin space m less than 17 at a 5% level of significance.

    Given that straight P open parentheses X less or equal than 9 close parentheses equals 0.02612, you check straight P open parentheses X less or equal than 10 close parentheses next if you are trying to find the critical region, where X tilde Po open parentheses 17 close parentheses.

    This is because the first probability is less than the significance level so you should try to increase the size of the interval.

  • True or False?

    A t-test can be used to test whether there is a linear correlation between two normally distributed variables.

    True.

    A t-test can be used to test whether there is a linear correlation between two normally distributed variables.

  • In the context of hypothesis testing, what is denoted by rho?

    rho denotes the population product moment correlation coefficient between two normally distributed variables.

  • What does the null hypothesis look like for a test for linear correlation?

    The null hypothesis for a test for linear correlation is straight H subscript 0 colon space rho equals 0.

  • True or False?

    The alternative hypothesis for a test for linear correlation is always straight H subscript 1 space colon thin space rho not equal to 0.

    False.

    The alternative hypothesis for a test for linear correlation is not always straight H subscript 1 space colon thin space rho not equal to 0. It could also be straight H subscript 1 space colon thin space rho less than 0 or straight H subscript 1 space colon thin space rho greater than 0.

  • What would the alternative hypothesis be if you were testing for a positive linear correlation?

    The alternative hypothesis would be straight H subscript 1 colon space rho greater than 0 if you were testing for a positive linear correlation.

  • What is the difference between a one-tailed test and a two-tailed test for linear correlation?

    A one-tailed test for linear correlation tests specifically for a particular type of correlation (positive or negative). Whereas, a two-tailed test just tests for any linear correlation.

    A two-tailed test is used when you do not know what type of correlation there might be.

  • What would the conclusion be if the p-value for a two-tailed test for linear correlation is less than the significance level?

    If the p-value for a two-tailed test for linear correlation is less than the significance level, then there is sufficient evidence to suggest that there is a linear correlation between the two variables.

    Note that the test does not determine whether it is a positive or negative correlation.

  • What would the conclusion be if the p-value for a test for positive linear correlation is greater than the significance level?

    If the p-value for a test for positive linear correlation is greater than the significance level, then there is insufficient evidence to suggest that there is a positive linear correlation between the two variables.

  • What is a Type I error?

    A Type I error occurs if the null hypothesis is rejected when it is true.

  • What is a Type II error?

    A Type I error occurs if the null hypothesis is not rejected when it is not true.

  • True or False?

    The probability of a Type I error is always equal to the stated significance level.

    False.

    The probability of a Type I error is always less than or equal to the stated significance level.

    For continuous distributions, the probability is equal to the stated significance level.

  • True or False?

    The critical region will maximise the probability of a Type I error while keeping it less than or equal to the stated significance level.

    True.

    The critical region will maximise the probability of a Type I error while keeping it less than or equal to the stated significance level.

  • If the null hypothesis is not rejected, what type of error could have been made?

    If the null hypothesis is not rejected, then a Type II error could have been made.

  • True or False?

    straight P open parentheses Type space II space error close parentheses equals 1 minus straight P open parentheses Type space straight I space error close parentheses.

    False.

    In general, straight P open parentheses Type space II space error close parentheses not equal to 1 minus straight P open parentheses Type space straight I space error close parentheses.

  • True or False?

    The hypotheses straight H subscript 0 colon space mu equals 100 and straight H subscript 1 colon space mu less than 100 are used.

    The critical region is X with bar on top less than 98.

    If the true mean is mu equals 99, then the probability of a Type II error is equal to straight P open parentheses X with bar on top less than 98 vertical line mu equals 99 close parentheses.

    False.

    The hypotheses straight H subscript 0 colon space mu equals 100 and straight H subscript 1 colon space mu less than 100 are used.

    The critical region is X with bar on top less than 98.

    If the true mean is mu equals 99, then the probability of a Type II error is equal to straight P open parentheses X with bar on top greater than 98 vertical line mu equals 99 close parentheses.

    You find the probability of obtaining a value that is not in the critical region.

  • The hypotheses straight H subscript 0 colon space mu equals 100 and straight H subscript 1 colon space mu less than 100 are used.

    The critical region is X with bar on top less than 98.

    How would you find the probability of a Type I error?

    The hypotheses straight H subscript 0 colon space mu equals 100 and straight H subscript 1 colon space mu less than 100 are used.

    The critical region is X with bar on top less than 98.

    The probability of a Type I error is equal to straight P open parentheses X with bar on top less than 98 vertical line mu equals 100 close parentheses.

  • The hypotheses straight H subscript 0 colon space mu equals 100 and straight H subscript 1 colon space mu not equal to 100 are used.

    The critical regions areX with bar on top less than 99 and X with bar on top greater than 101.

    If the true value of the mean is mu equals 99.5, how would you find the probability of a Type II error?

    The hypotheses straight H subscript 0 colon space mu equals 100 and straight H subscript 1 colon space mu not equal to 100 are used.

    The critical regions areX with bar on top less than 99 and X with bar on top greater than 101.

    If the true value of the mean is mu equals 99.5, then the probability of a Type II error is equal to straight P open parentheses 99 less than X with bar on top less than 101 vertical line mu equals 99.5 close parentheses.

  • The hypotheses straight H subscript 0 colon space p equals 0.3 and straight H subscript 1 colon space p greater than 0.3 are used.

    The critical region is X greater or equal than 17.

    The true value of the proportion is p equals 0.35.

    How would you find the probability of a Type II error?

    The hypotheses straight H subscript 0 colon space p equals 0.3 and straight H subscript 1 colon space p greater than 0.3 are used.

    The critical region is X greater or equal than 17.

    The true value of the proportion is p equals 0.35.

    The probability of a Type II error is equal to straight P open parentheses X less or equal than 16 vertical line p equals 0.35 close parentheses.

  • The hypotheses straight H subscript 0 colon space m equals 7.5 and straight H subscript 1 colon space m less than 7.5 are used.

    When a 5% significance level is used, the critical region is X less or equal than 2.

    Write an inequality for the probability of a Type I error.

    The hypotheses straight H subscript 0 colon space m equals 7.5 and straight H subscript 1 colon space m less than 7.5 are used.

    When a 5% significance level is used, the critical region is X less or equal than 2.

    An inequality for the probability of a Type I error would be straight P open parentheses Type space straight I space error close parentheses less or equal than 0.05.

  • The probability of which type of error usually decreases when the significance level is increased?

    The probability of a Type II error usually decreases when the significance level is increased.