Global Energy Balance Change (DP IB Geography)

Revision Note

Variations in Solar Radiation

  • The Earth's energy budget (EEB) establishes Earth's climate

  • When the budget balances, temperatures on the Earth remain mostly constant

  • However, the incoming and outgoing energy don’t balance

  • The imbalance is partly caused by insolation, as it varies seasonally and with natural changes in the Earth's atmosphere

  • Changes in the make-up of the atmosphere alter the amount of energy absorbed and reflected

  • Changing factors such as greenhouse gases, water vapour etc., result in small, but significant energy imbalance on Earth

  • Other factors include:

    • Distance

    • Seasonal change

    • Latitude

    • Reflectiveness (albedo) 

Factors affecting global insolation

  • Distance from the sun

    • Earth's orbit around the Sun is elliptical 

    • Perihelion is when the Earth is closest to the Sun and insolation travels less distance

    • Aphelion is when the Earth is furthest away from the Sun - insolation has to travel further

Elliptical orbit of Earth

elliptical-orbit-of-earth
  • Latitudinal differences

    • Insolation has to pass through more atmosphere in the polar latitudes

    • Insolation is spread over a larger area in the polar regions

    • The Sun is overhead at the Equator and tropical latitudes receive more insolation

Uneven distribution of insolation

 

angle-of-insolation
  • Seasonality and diurnal differences

    • The Earth is permanently tilted in the same direction on its axis

    • This tilt changes which hemisphere is facing the Sun as the Earth orbits throughout the year 

    • This creates the seasons and daylight availability

    • Therefore, differences in the amounts of insolation gained or lost across the globe throughout the year

Seasonality affects global energy

seasonality

Milankovitch cycles

  • Milankovitch cycles describe the effects of changes in the Earth's movements on its climate over thousands of years

  • In the 1920s, Milankovitch suggested that variations in eccentricity, tilt, and wobble of the Earth's orbit resulted in cyclic changes in the amount of solar radiation reaching the Earth

  • Therefore, orbital changes influenced climatic patterns on Earth

Cycle

Time in Years (approx.)

Effect

Eccentricity (shape) 

100,000

The Earth's orbit is currently elliptical making it closer to the Sun in January than in July. This results in the seasons being more extreme in the Southern Hemisphere than in the Northern Hemisphere. This shape will move to become more circular and this leads to cooler, even seasons, as the distance from the Sun will be more equal  

Obliquity (tilt)

40,000

If the Earth’s axis were vertical, there would be no seasons – the same part of the Earth’s surface would be facing the Sun throughout the year. The more angled the axis, the more extreme the seasons are (hotter summers and colder winters)

Precession (wobble)

26,000

The axis also traces a circle in space and every 26,000 years the Earth wobbles on its axis and this changes which star we see as the North Star – currently it is Polaris, but 13,000 years ago, it would have been Vega

Milankovitch cycles

Diagram illustrating Milankovitch cycles: Earth's orbit eccentricity (shape extremes), obliquity (tilt), and precession (wobble) with resulting extreme seasons and axis movements.
The shape, tilt and wobble of Earth's movement over thousands of years, affects long-term climate

Sunspots and solar flares 

  • Increased sunspot activity and solar flares are linked to higher average temperatures

  • Sunspots are areas of intense and complicated magnetic fields that emit solar plasma flares thousands of kilometres above the sun

  • The flare quickly rises to temperatures of 20 million °C 

  • These bursts of high-energy radiation have the same energy as a few million volcanic eruptions on the Earth 

  • Sunspots range from Earth-size 'pimples', to swollen scars halfway across the surface of the Sun

  • The Sun goes through 11-year cycles of solar activity

Ejection of solar plasma from the Sun

solar-flare

Photo by NASA on Unsplash

The more 'spots' on the Sun's surface, the higher the Sun's output

sun-spot

Photo by The Adaptive on Unsplash

Cloud cover

  • Clouds have higher albedos than the surface below, so more short-wave radiation is reflected back to space

  • Cloud cover at the equator reflects insolation – more is reflected having a net cooling effect

  • At the same time, clouds help contain the heat that would otherwise be emitted to space, through 'longwave warming,' which has a net warming effect 

    • High, thin clouds, such as cirrus, allow insolation to pass through but absorb some long-wave radiation, warming the Earth’s surface

    • Deep convective clouds, especially cumulonimbus, neither heat nor cool overall 

    • An overcast sky with complete cloud cover of low thick clouds – stratus and stratocumulus, can reflect 80% of insolation and cool the Earth’s surface 

Global Dimming

  • Global dimming is caused by the increase of pollution in the atmosphere

  • Overall decline of 1-2% in insolation per decade since the 1950s

  • Between 1960 and 1990, the northern hemisphere saw a reduction of between 4% and 8% in insolation

  • Pollution controls in Europe and parts of North America have seen some recovery or global brightening

  • China and India have seen further, regional declines

  • Southern hemisphere is largely unaffected although increased development is having an impact

  • There are two timescales:

    • Short-term natural

    • Long-term anthropogenic

Short-term Natural Global Dimming

Cause

Impact

Volcanic eruptions

Large-scale eruptions block insolation and reduce temperatures

The 1991 eruption of Mount Pinatubo, Philippines, reduced global temperatures by 1°C in 1992

Atmospheric dust and asteroids

Asteroids and meteors increase the amount of dust in the atmosphere, which decrease temperatures

Wildfires

Wildfires have increased in size and intensity over the last decade. In 2020, wildfires burned more than a million acres in Oregon and more than 4 million acres in California.  Although smoke eventually clears, it adds to global dimming because of fine matter and particles 

Long-term Anthropogenic Global Dimming

Cause

Impact

Aerosols

These are fine, solid particles or liquid droplets in the air and other gases. Most aerosols scatter light and some insolation back out to space, which exerts a cooling effect on the climate

Particulate Matter

These include sulphur dioxide, ash, and soot, which are by-products of burning fossil fuels. Once in the atmosphere, they absorb and reflect insolation before it reaches the Earth's surface, causing dimming and cooling

Water Droplets

Water droplets pick up particulates such as soot, ash, sulphur dioxide, etc. to form heavy, polluted 'brown clouds’. These clouds reflect light and energy back out to space, resulting in global dimming

Vapour Trails (Contrails)

Contrail vapour from airplanes, flying high in the sky, reflect heat from the sun back out to space, causing global dimming

Planetary Albedo

  • Planetary albedo is the amount of sunlight reflected from Earth's surface

  • Fresh snow and ice have the highest albedos, reflecting up to 95% of sunlight

  • Ocean surfaces absorb most sunlight, and so have low albedos

  • Hot bodies (sun) produce shortwave radiation, whereas, cold bodies (Earth) produce longwave radiation which is easily absorbed by GHGs and clouds

Positive & Negative Feedback

  • A feedback loop is a cycle within a system that either increases (positive) or decreases (negative) the effects on that system to achieve equilibrium

  • Positive feedback amplifies (enhances) a change and are destabilising 

  • Negative feedback 'checks' or dampens change and are stabilising

  • Dynamic equilibrium

    • A system in a total state of balance is difficult to find, as nature is dynamic (ever changing)

    • Constant short-term adjustments are usually made through negative feedback to maintain balance

    • This process is referred to as 'dynamic equilibrium'.

Simple feedback system

Flowchart illustrating a system with labeled boxes for Input, Process, and Output. Feedback loop connects Output back to Input. Green arrows indicate flow direction.
Changes to the processes in a system (disturbances) lead to changes in the system's outputs, which in turn affect the inputs

 Example of a negative feedback loop

Flowchart showing cloud cover's effects on Earth's temperature: increased evaporation raises temperature, increased albedo lowers it, stabilizing the average state.
Effect of negative feedback through clouds
  • Many positive feedback loops contribute to global warming

Examples of positive feedback loops

1-3-3-positive-feedback-a
Flowchart showing how permafrost thaw increases CO2 and CH4 release, leading to higher global temperatures. Includes text explaining greenhouse gas effects on climate.
Effects of positive feedback on ice-cap melt and permafrost thawing 

Examiner Tips and Tricks

Remember that a positive or negative feedback loop doesn't indicate whether the loop is good or bad.

In a system, a feedback loop is something that enhances or checks a process to bring the system back into balance.

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