Probability Density Function (CIE A Level Maths: Probability & Statistics 2)

What is a probability density function (p.d.f.)?

• For a continuous random variable , it is often possible to model probabilities using a function
  • This function is called a probability density function (p.d.f.)
  • For the continuous random variable,X , it would usually be denoted as a function of   (such as f()  or g() )
• The distribution (or density) of probabilities can be illustrated by the graph of f()
• The graph does not need to start and end on the x-axis

• For f() to represent a p.d.f. the following conditions must apply 
  • for all values of 
    • This is the equivalent to   for a discrete random variable
  • The area under the graph must total 1

• • • This is equivalent to  for a discrete random variable

How do I find probabilities using a probability density function (p.d.f.)?

• The probability that the continuous random variable  lies in the interval
  , where has the probability density function f() , is given by

• As with the normal distribution 
  • • for any continuous random variable,   for all values of n
    • One way to think of this is that  in the integral above

How do I solve problems using the PDF?

• Some questions may ask for justification of the use of a given function for a probability density function
  • In such cases check that the function meets the two conditions  for all values of  and the total area under the graph is 1

• If asked to find a probability
  • STEP 1
    Identify the probability density function, f(), this may be given as a graph, an equation or as a piecewise function

                                                e.g.        

• STEP 2
  Identify the range of  for a particular problem

                            Remember that 

                            Question: Can you explain why this is so?
                            (Answer is at end of this section)

• STEP 3
  Sketching the graph of y = f() if simple may help to find the probability
  • Look for basic shapes such as triangles or rectangles; finding areas of these is easy and avoids integration
  • Look for symmetry in the graph that may make the problem easier
  • Integrate f() and evaluate it between the two limits for the required probability
• Trickier problems may involve finding a limit of the integral given its value
  • i.e. one of the values in the range of X, given the probability
    e.g.        Find the value of  given 
• Answer to question in STEP 2:
  Since 

What is meant by the median of a continuous random variable?

• The median, m, of a continuous random variable, X , with probability density function f(x) is defined as the value of the continuous random variable X, such that

•  Since  this can also be written as 
• If the p.d.f. is symmetrical (i.e. the graph of y = f(x) is symmetrical) then the median will be halfway between the lower and upper limits of x
  • In such cases the graph of y=f(x) has axis of symmetry in the line x = m

How do I find the median of a continuous random variable?

• By solving one of the equations to find m

                                and

• The equation that should be used will depend on the information in the question
• If the graph of  is symmetrical, symmetry may be used to deduce the median

How do I find quartiles (or percentiles) of a continuous random variable?

• In a similar way, to find the median
  • The lower quartile will be the value L such that P(X ≤ L) = 0.25 or
    P(X ≥ L) = 0.75
  • The upper quartile will be the value U such that P(X ≤ U) = 0.75 or
    P(X ≥ U) = 0.25
• Percentiles can be found in the same way
  • The 15^th percentile will be the value k such that P(X ≤ k) = 0.15 or
    P(X ≥ k) = 0.85

What is meant by the mode of a continuous random variable?

• The mode of a continuous random variable, X  , with probability density function f(x) is the value of x that produces the greatest value of f(x) .

How do I find the mode of a PDF?

• This will depend on the type of function f(x); the easiest way to find the mode is by considering the shape of the graph of f(x)
• If the graph is a curve with a (local) maximum point, the mode can be found by differentiating and solving the equation f'(x) = 0
  • If there is more than one solution to f'(x) =  0 , further work may be needed to deduce which answer is the mode
    • Look for valid values of from the definition of the p.d.f.
    • Use the second derivative (f'' (x) ) to deduce the nature of each stationary point
    • You may need to check the values of f(x) at the endpoints too