Variations in Population Structure (Edexcel A Level Geography)

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Variations in UK Population

  • Populations vary over time and from place to place

  • Populations can vary by:

    • Total numbers (rising and falling over time)

    • Population Structure

    • Increasing in some places, whilst decreasing or remaining stable in other places

What is ‘place’?

  • Places (like areas and locations) are parts of geographical space, where physical and human elements of a given society coexist

  • A place is shaped and constantly transformed by:

    • The physical nature of the place 

    • What its residents do for a living

    • Connections:

      • Internal - people, employment, housing, services

      • External - government policies, globalisation

  • An important aspect of place is how individuals and groups of people perceive, engage with and form attachments to it

The UK’s uneven population growth

  • Characteristics of the UK population:

    • A total population of 67.8 million (July 2023)

    • The population has grown by over 11 million people in the last 50 years

    • It has grown unevenly:

      • London and the south-east have seen a rapid population growth rate

      • Between 2004-14, the population of the UK increased by 4.3 million people, with eight out of the ten local authorities experiencing the most growth were located in London

      • The north-east of England has been growing at a much slower rate

    • The UK has an ageing population as life expectancy has increased and death rates have fallen due to better medical care

IMAGE

The UK’s population growth

The Factors Driving Population Growth Within Areas of the UK

London and the south-east

The north-east of England

Rapid population growth over the last 20 years (29.5% increase), due to:

  • The growing knowledge, financial and service industries

  • People, from within the UK and overseas, moving to London for jobs

  • Plentiful opportunities for tertiary education, including over 30 institutions in London e.g. universities

  • High-tech businesses are attracted to this area to take advantage of the highly-skilled labour

Slower population growth over the last 20 years (1.7% increase), due to:

  • High levels of deindustrialisation in the region as manufacturing (e.g. steel production) has moved overseas

  • High levels of unemployment and fewer economic opportunities for younger people

  • People have migrated away from the area to find employment, in particular to the south-east

Examiner Tips and Tricks

For this unit on Diverse Places, you will have studied your own two contrasting places. These revision notes will focus on two contrasting places, Liverpool and Lerwick (in Shetland). You could use these notes as additional case studies, alongside your own, in your exam answers.

IMAGE

The location of Liverpool and Lerwick

Rural-Urban Continuum & Population

  • Places can be arranged along the rural-urban continuum, depending on how rural or urban a place is

  • Population characteristics vary along the rural-urban continuum:

    • Population change   

      • In England, both rural and urban areas have seen an increase in overall population between 2011 and 2019

      • The rural population increased by 5.2% and urban by 6.2%

      • Within rural areas, the greatest rate of population increase was in rural towns and the rural areas which fringe urban areas (5.7%) 

      • Within urban areas, population increase was the highest in major urban conurbations (6.9%), such as Birmingham and London

    • Population density  

      • The population density Is lower in rural areas and higher in urban areas 

    • Population structure  

The Population Structure for Urban and Rural places

Urban areas

Rural areas

  • Urban places offer more economic and social opportunities with a wider range of businesses and industries to provide jobs

  • This leads to urban areas having a younger and more ethnically diverse population, with higher proportions of young adults (20-40 years old)

  • As a result, fertility rates and population growth are higher than rural areas

  • Rural places have more limited economic and social opportunities as there are fewer businesses and industries to provide jobs

  • Rural places tend to have older populations, with higher numbers of older adults (over 50 year olds) 

  • As a result, rural populations show lower fertility rates and higher mortality rates than urban areas

  • The rural population is also less ethnically diverse due to the limited opportunities

Population density

IMAGE

Population densities within the rural-urban continuum model

Examiner Tips and Tricks

Make sure you know where your two contrasting places sit on the rural-urban continuum e.g. 

  • Lerwick, a rural town with a population of approximately 7000, would be in between isolated hamlets and commuter villages on the continuum due to its remote location (Situated on Shetland, an island, 123 miles from the Scottish mainland)

  • Liverpool, a city of 498,042 (2019) would cover the categories of suburbs, inner city and CBD

  • Other factors can also cause population density to vary, including:

    • Accessibility - places that are more accessible will have higher population densities

    • Physical factors (relief, extreme climates) - flatter, low-lying land will have higher population densities

    • Historical development - during the industrial revolution, workers will have lived in small houses close to their place of work, creating higher population densities (in the area which is now classed as the inner city)

    • Planning policies 

      • The UK’s Green Belt policy aims to prevent urban sprawl by keeping land around major urban areas open and undeveloped

        • Leading to inner city areas becoming more densely populated

      • Local authorities also built new suburbs outside the Green Belt (commuter villages), which have become more densely populated

uks-population-density
The UK’s population distribution

Examiner Tips and Tricks

Make sure you know the difference between population distribution and population density as these concepts are easily confused.

Population distribution is the pattern of where people live, whereas population density is the number of people per unit of land. So population density can be used to measure population distribution.

Population structure

  • Population structures (e.g. age, gender, ethnic diversity) vary from place to place and over time

    • Population pyramids can be used to highlight changes in age and gender

population-structure
Population pyramid for the UK (2019)
  • The age of population varies between locations:

    • Remote rural areas have a higher proportion of older people, who wish to retire to quiet and beautiful surroundings

    • Rural areas have fewer young people as they leave to look for work elsewhere

      • This is due to the mechanisation of farming decreasing employment opportunities

    • Urban areas attract younger people as there are more job and educational opportunities 

Causes of Variations in Population

  • Population dynamics and population structures are also a result of differences in:

    • Fertility rates, and birth and mortality rates 

    • International and internal migration

  • Places with high fertility and birth rates, such as Niger, will have larger family sizes and a growing population with young dependents 

  • Places with high mortality rates, such as Bulgaria, will face natural decrease and a declining population

population-components
The components of population change
  • Population change is the outcome of two processes:

    • Natural change

    • Net migration

  • If natural change and net migration are both positive, the rate of population growth will be dynamic

  • If natural change and net migration are both negative, the rate of population decline will be dynamic

  • If natural change and net migration are working in opposition, the rate of population growth will be less dynamic as the processes are cancelling each other out

  • Population change within the UK (2019):

    • The UK’s population continues to grow, but at a slower rate than previous years

    • In 2019, the UK experienced a natural change of 109,973 with 712,680 live births and 604,707 deaths

      • The lowest level of natural change since 2003

    • The UK’s fertility rate has been declining since 2012

      • The average number of children per woman was 1.68

    • Migration to the UK has been the main reason of population growth since the 1990s

      • An estimated 313,000 more people moved to the UK than left

Examiner Tips and Tricks

Investigate the birth and death rate, as well as international and internal net migration, for your two chosen contrasting places.

Population Demographic Indicators (2019)

Location

Birth rate

Death rate

Liverpool

10.7

10.3

Shetland

11.2

9.0

Net Number of Long-term Migrants -

Staying Longer than 12 Months (2019)

Location

International

Internal

Liverpool

+3217

-1152

Shetland

-50

+20

Worked Example

Study Figure 1 and suggest reasons for the changes to the population of England and Wales shown

[6 marks]

Figure 1 - Changes to the population of England and Wales, 1991-2011 (UK census data)

 

  • This is a data stimulus question, so evidence needs to be used to answer the question

  • The bar chart needs to be studied carefully - it shows changing ethnicity, with the additional information about changing total population

  • Both pieces of data need to be explained with reference to immigration (both EU and non-EU movement) and internal growth (fertility rates and birth rate)

  • A logical answer might start with total numbers and then move on to suggest reasons for the change in ethnicity

 Answer:

Between 1991 and 2001, the total population increased by just over 2 million, and by 2011, there were a further 3.2 million people living in England and Wales. This population growth is due to natural change with higher fertility and birth rates, and declining death rates and longer life expectancies due medical advancements. Some of the population growth will also have been caused by immigration into England and Wales.

The accelerating population growth, between 2001 and 2011, was a result of higher levels of immigration. In 2004 and 2007, 12 countries joined the EU, which promotes free movement of workers. These countries were mainly from Eastern Europe, which were not as economically strong as the UK, meaning many younger workers will have migrated from Eastern Europe to England and Wales in search of higher paid jobs. Higher levels of immigration will have further boosted the total population.

With regards to ethnicity, the increase in percentages from white-other and white-Irish will be due to the freedom of movement of EU citizens. Nationalities, such as the Polish, French and German, will have migrated to the UK to work. The increase in the non-white population is partly due to immigration, but also existing UK black and Asian populations having children, which doubled the percentage between 1991 and 2011.

Examiner Tips and Tricks

You need to bear in mind that statistical data can quickly become out of date e.g.

The census only takes place every ten years.

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