Central Banks & Monetary Policy (AQA A Level Economics)

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Steve Vorster

Written by: Steve Vorster

Reviewed by: Jenna Quinn

Main Functions of a Central Bank

  • A central bank is the government's bank that issues currency and controls the supply of money in the economy

  • Central banks play a vital role in maintaining stability in the financial system

  • The policy tools at their disposal help to meet government macroeconomic objectives 

Diagram: Role of the Central Bank

screenshot-2024-02-07-at-16-20-22
Central Banks play four important roles in the economy

1. Banker to the government: The government sets the annual budget, but it is the Central Bank that manages the tax receipts and payments. In 2022, there were 5.7 million public sector workers in the UK who had to be paid each month

2. Banker to the banks—lender of last resort: Commercial banks are able to borrow from the Central Bank if they run into short-term liquidity issues. Without this help, they might go bankrupt, leading to instability in the financial system  and a potential loss of savings for many households


3. Regulation of the banking industry: The high level of asymmetric information in financial markets, it requires that commercial banks be regulated in order to protect consumers. One of the key regulatory actions to manage the money supply and promote stability in the financial system is the implementation of required reserve ratios.. Raising the ratio decreases the money supply in the economy, and vice versa


4. Implementation of monetary policy: This involves the Central Bank taking action to influence interest rates, the money supply, credit and the exchange rate 

The Objectives of Monetary Policy

  • Monetary policy is used to help the government achieve their macroeconomic objectives

  • Specifically, the use of monetary policy aims to achieve

    • A low and stable rate of inflation

    • Low unemployment

    • Reduce trade/economic cycle fluctuations

    • Promote a stable economic environment for long-term growth

    • To control the level of exports and imports (net external balance)

  • When a policy decision is made, it creates a ripple effect through the economy, impacting the macroeconomic objectives of the government

The Role of the Monetary Policy Committee of the Bank of England

  • The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) under the Bank of England (UK Central Bank) is responsible for setting monetary policy

    • They meets eight times a year to set policy and consist of nine members

    • The single most important consideration in their deliberations is the inflation target of 2% CPI

    • At this meeting, they set the bank rate and discuss if quantitative easing is required

    • Policy is decided by majority vote

    • It can take up to two years for the full effects of decisions to be seen in the economy

Expansionary & Contrationary Monetary Policy

Expansionary Monetary Policy

  • Monetary policy can be expansionary in order to generate further economic growth (also referred to as loose monetary policy)

    • Expansionary policies include reducing interest rates, increasing QE, or depreciating the exchange rate    

  • To understand the effects of monetary policy on an economy, it is useful to know how aggregate demand (AD) is calculated

    • AD= household consumption (C) + firms investment (I) + government spending (G) + exports (X) - imports (M)

    • AD = C + I + G + (X - M) 

  • From this, it is logical that changes to monetary policy can influence any of these components - and often several of them at once
      

  • Expansionary monetary policy aims to shift aggregate demand (AD) to the right

Diagram: Expansionary Monetary Policy

2-4-3---changes-to--equilibrium---classical-increase-in-ad
AD/AS diagram illustrating expansionary monetary policy which increases real GDP (Y1 →Y2) and average price levels (AP1 →AP2) 

Diagram analysis

  • The economy is initially in macroeconomic equilibrium AP1Y1

  • The Central Bank wants to boost economic growth and lower interest rates

  • Lower interest rates cause investment and consumption to increase, which are components of AD

  • Aggregate demand increases from AD1→ AD2

  • The economy reaches a new equilibrium at AP2Y2 - a higher average price level and a greater level of national output

An Example of how Expansionary Monetary Policy Impacts on the Goals


The USA Federal Reserve Bank commits to an extra $60bn a month of QE

Effect on the economy

  • Commercial banks receive cash for their bonds → liquidity in the market increases → commercial banks lower lending rates → consumers and firms borrow more → consumption and investment increase → AD increases 

Impact on macroeconomic aims

  • Economic growth increases

  • Inflation rises

  • Unemployment may fall as output increases and more workers are required

  • Net external demand worsens (with higher price levels exports may decrease and with rising incomes, imports may increase)

   Contractionary Monetary Policy

  • Monetary policy can be contractionary in order to slow down economic growth or reduce inflation (also referred to as tight monetary policy)

    • Contractionary policies include increasing interest rates, decreasing/stopping QE, or appreciating the exchange rate  

  • Contractionary monetary policy aims to shift aggregate demand to the left

Diagram: Contractionary Monetary Policy

2-6-2-contractionary-demand-side-policies
Keynesian diagram illustrating contractionary monetary policy which decreases the real GDP (YFE →Y1) and average price levels (AP1 →AP2) 

Diagram analysis

  • The economy is initially in macroeconomic equilibrium AP1YFE

  • The Central Bank is wanting to lower inflation towards its target of 2% - and increases interest rates

  • Higher interest rates cause investment and consumption to decrease

  • Aggregate demand decreases from AD1→ AD2

  • The economy reaches a new equilibrium at AP2Y1 - a lower average price level and a smaller level of national output

      

An Example of how Contractionary Monetary Policy Impacts on the Goals


The Central Bank increases interest rates

Effect on the economy

  • Existing loan repayments for households become more expensive → discretionary income reduces → consumption decreases → total demand falls

  • Firms are less likely to borrow  → less investment in capital takes place → AD falls

  • Hot money flows increase → the exchange rate appreciates → exports more expensive and imports cheaper → net exports reduce → AD decreases

Impact on macroeconomic aims

  • Economic growth slows down

  • Inflation eases

  • Unemployment may increase as output is falling and fewer workers are required

  • Net external demand is likely to worsen as both exports and imports reduce (exports more expensive due to higher exchange rate and imports cheaper - but households have less income for imports)

   

Examiner Tips and Tricks

When analysing monetary policy, it is worth noting that monetary policy (4-8 x per year) can be adjusted more quickly than fiscal policy (usually once per year). However, the impact of fiscal policy is more predictable than the impact of monetary policy. For example, households may not borrow more money if their confidence in the economy is low - irrespective of how low interest rates go.

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Steve Vorster

Author: Steve Vorster

Expertise: Economics & Business Subject Lead

Steve has taught A Level, GCSE, IGCSE Business and Economics - as well as IBDP Economics and Business Management. He is an IBDP Examiner and IGCSE textbook author. His students regularly achieve 90-100% in their final exams. Steve has been the Assistant Head of Sixth Form for a school in Devon, and Head of Economics at the world's largest International school in Singapore. He loves to create resources which speed up student learning and are easily accessible by all.

Jenna Quinn

Author: Jenna Quinn

Expertise: Head of New Subjects

Jenna studied at Cardiff University before training to become a science teacher at the University of Bath specialising in Biology (although she loves teaching all three sciences at GCSE level!). Teaching is her passion, and with 10 years experience teaching across a wide range of specifications – from GCSE and A Level Biology in the UK to IGCSE and IB Biology internationally – she knows what is required to pass those Biology exams.